Databricks' most recent private funding round closed in August 2026 at a $190 billion valuation after raising $5 billion, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and 80% year-over-year growth amid strong AI-driven demand for its data platform. CEO Ali Ghodsi has explicitly ruled out a 2026 listing due to a saturated IPO calendar featuring peers such as OpenAI and SpaceX, pointing instead to 2027 while noting the firm remains IPO-ready with positive free cash flow and over 1,000 large enterprise accounts. This backdrop creates balanced market-implied odds across $150–400 billion closing market-cap bands, reflecting uncertainty over public-market multiples versus private benchmarks, potential revenue acceleration, and the 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2,000億美元–2,500億美元 94%
2,500 億至 3,000 億美元 94%
3,000億-3,500億美元 94%
3,500 億美元至 4,000 億美元 94%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低於 1,500 億美元
-
1,500 億-2,000 億美元
-
2,000億美元–2,500億美元
94%
2,500 億至 3,000 億美元
94%
3,000億-3,500億美元
94%
3,500 億美元至 4,000 億美元
94%
4,000億美元–4,500億美元
-
4,500 億美元以上
-
在2027年12月31日前不IPO
24%
2,000億美元–2,500億美元 94%
2,500 億至 3,000 億美元 94%
3,000億-3,500億美元 94%
3,500 億美元至 4,000 億美元 94%
最新
最新
2027-12-31
低於 1,500 億美元
$18 交易量
-
1,500 億-2,000 億美元
$18 交易量
-
2,000億美元–2,500億美元
$18 交易量
94%
2,500 億至 3,000 億美元
$18 交易量
94%
3,000億-3,500億美元
$18 交易量
94%
3,500 億美元至 4,000 億美元
$18 交易量
94%
4,000億美元–4,500億美元
$18 交易量
-
4,500 億美元以上
$18 交易量
-
在2027年12月31日前不IPO
$272 交易量
24%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' most recent private funding round closed in August 2026 at a $190 billion valuation after raising $5 billion, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and 80% year-over-year growth amid strong AI-driven demand for its data platform. CEO Ali Ghodsi has explicitly ruled out a 2026 listing due to a saturated IPO calendar featuring peers such as OpenAI and SpaceX, pointing instead to 2027 while noting the firm remains IPO-ready with positive free cash flow and over 1,000 large enterprise accounts. This backdrop creates balanced market-implied odds across $150–400 billion closing market-cap bands, reflecting uncertainty over public-market multiples versus private benchmarks, potential revenue acceleration, and the 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
交易量
$416結束日期
2028-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETThis market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' most recent private funding round closed in August 2026 at a $190 billion valuation after raising $5 billion, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and 80% year-over-year growth amid strong AI-driven demand for its data platform. CEO Ali Ghodsi has explicitly ruled out a 2026 listing due to a saturated IPO calendar featuring peers such as OpenAI and SpaceX, pointing instead to 2027 while noting the firm remains IPO-ready with positive free cash flow and over 1,000 large enterprise accounts. This backdrop creates balanced market-implied odds across $150–400 billion closing market-cap bands, reflecting uncertainty over public-market multiples versus private benchmarks, potential revenue acceleration, and the 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
交易量
$416結束日期
2028-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETDatabricks' most recent private funding round closed in August 2026 at a $190 billion valuation after raising $5 billion, supported by annualized revenue exceeding $7 billion and 80% year-over-year growth amid strong AI-driven demand for its data platform. CEO Ali Ghodsi has explicitly ruled out a 2026 listing due to a saturated IPO calendar featuring peers such as OpenAI and SpaceX, pointing instead to 2027 while noting the firm remains IPO-ready with positive free cash flow and over 1,000 large enterprise accounts. This backdrop creates balanced market-implied odds across $150–400 billion closing market-cap bands, reflecting uncertainty over public-market multiples versus private benchmarks, potential revenue acceleration, and the 23.5% probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions