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2026年金球獎得主

icon for 2026年金球獎得主

2026年金球獎得主

萊納爾·梅西 44.8%

拉明·亞馬爾 28.9%

哈里·凱恩 15.3%

基利安·姆巴佩 3.6%

Polymarket

$8,854,163 交易量

萊納爾·梅西 44.8%

拉明·亞馬爾 28.9%

哈里·凱恩 15.3%

基利安·姆巴佩 3.6%

Polymarket

$8,854,163 交易量

萊納爾·梅西

$362,013 交易量

45%

拉明·亞馬爾

$334,369 交易量

29%

哈里·凱恩

$1,134,580 交易量

15%

基利安·姆巴佩

$387,093 交易量

4%

奧斯曼·登貝萊

$799,812 交易量

3%

邁克爾·奧利塞

$231,481 交易量

1%

克維查·克瓦拉茨赫利亞

$169,945 交易量

1%

裘德·貝林漢

$465,396 交易量

<1%

厄林·哈蘭德

$422,358 交易量

<1%

勞塔羅·馬丁內斯

$101,775 交易量

<1%

佩德里

$372,824 交易量

<1%

迪克蘭·賴斯

$163,794 交易量

<1%

穆罕默德·薩拉赫

$636,914 交易量

<1%

維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾

$715,748 交易量

<1%

科爾·帕爾默

$293,135 交易量

<1%

維蒂尼亞

$164,818 交易量

<1%

朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯

$332,429 交易量

<1%

拉芬尼亞

$335,251 交易量

<1%

布魯諾·費爾南德斯

$345,106 交易量

<1%

克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多

$164,425 交易量

<1%

費德里科·巴爾韋德

$95,744 交易量

<1%

德西雷·杜埃

$269,083 交易量

<1%

阿什拉夫·哈基米

$287,166 交易量

<1%

路易斯·迪亞斯

$124,185 交易量

<1%

多米尼克·索博斯洛伊

$145,015 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$8,854,163
結束日期
2026-10-31
市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$8,854,163
結束日期
2026-10-31
市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年金球獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 25 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "萊納爾·梅西" at 45%, followed by "拉明·亞馬爾" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年金球獎得主" has generated $8.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年金球獎得主," browse the 25 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年金球獎得主" is "萊納爾·梅西" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "拉明·亞馬爾" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年金球獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.