Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年金球獎得主
2026年金球獎得主
萊納爾·梅西 44.8%
拉明·亞馬爾 28.9%
哈里·凱恩 15.3%
基利安·姆巴佩 3.6%
$8,854,163 交易量
$8,854,163 交易量
2026-10-31
萊納爾·梅西
45%
拉明·亞馬爾
29%
哈里·凱恩
15%
基利安·姆巴佩
4%
奧斯曼·登貝萊
3%
邁克爾·奧利塞
1%
克維查·克瓦拉茨赫利亞
1%
裘德·貝林漢
<1%
厄林·哈蘭德
<1%
勞塔羅·馬丁內斯
<1%
佩德里
<1%
迪克蘭·賴斯
<1%
穆罕默德·薩拉赫
<1%
維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾
<1%
科爾·帕爾默
<1%
維蒂尼亞
<1%
朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯
<1%
拉芬尼亞
<1%
布魯諾·費爾南德斯
<1%
克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多
<1%
費德里科·巴爾韋德
<1%
德西雷·杜埃
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
<1%
路易斯·迪亞斯
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
<1%
萊納爾·梅西 44.8%
拉明·亞馬爾 28.9%
哈里·凱恩 15.3%
基利安·姆巴佩 3.6%
$8,854,163 交易量
$8,854,163 交易量
2026-10-31
萊納爾·梅西
$362,013 交易量
45%
拉明·亞馬爾
$334,369 交易量
29%
哈里·凱恩
$1,134,580 交易量
15%
基利安·姆巴佩
$387,093 交易量
4%
奧斯曼·登貝萊
$799,812 交易量
3%
邁克爾·奧利塞
$231,481 交易量
1%
克維查·克瓦拉茨赫利亞
$169,945 交易量
1%
裘德·貝林漢
$465,396 交易量
<1%
厄林·哈蘭德
$422,358 交易量
<1%
勞塔羅·馬丁內斯
$101,775 交易量
<1%
佩德里
$372,824 交易量
<1%
迪克蘭·賴斯
$163,794 交易量
<1%
穆罕默德·薩拉赫
$636,914 交易量
<1%
維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾
$715,748 交易量
<1%
科爾·帕爾默
$293,135 交易量
<1%
維蒂尼亞
$164,818 交易量
<1%
朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯
$332,429 交易量
<1%
拉芬尼亞
$335,251 交易量
<1%
布魯諾·費爾南德斯
$345,106 交易量
<1%
克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多
$164,425 交易量
<1%
費德里科·巴爾韋德
$95,744 交易量
<1%
德西雷·杜埃
$269,083 交易量
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
$287,166 交易量
<1%
路易斯·迪亞斯
$124,185 交易量
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
$145,015 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$8,854,163結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$8,854,163結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions