Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年金球獎得主
2026年金球獎得主
萊納爾·梅西 43.6%
拉明·亞馬爾 28.9%
哈里·凱恩 16.4%
基利安·姆巴佩 6.9%
$8,973,364 交易量
$8,973,364 交易量
2026-10-31
萊納爾·梅西
44%
拉明·亞馬爾
29%
哈里·凱恩
16%
基利安·姆巴佩
7%
奧斯曼·登貝萊
2%
克維查·克瓦拉茨赫利亞
1%
邁克爾·奧利塞
1%
迪克蘭·賴斯
<1%
厄林·哈蘭德
<1%
佩德里
<1%
勞塔羅·馬丁內斯
<1%
裘德·貝林漢
<1%
穆罕默德·薩拉赫
<1%
維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾
<1%
科爾·帕爾默
<1%
維蒂尼亞
<1%
朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯
<1%
拉芬尼亞
<1%
布魯諾·費爾南德斯
<1%
克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多
<1%
費德里科·巴爾韋德
<1%
德西雷·杜埃
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
<1%
路易斯·迪亞斯
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
<1%
萊納爾·梅西 43.6%
拉明·亞馬爾 28.9%
哈里·凱恩 16.4%
基利安·姆巴佩 6.9%
$8,973,364 交易量
$8,973,364 交易量
2026-10-31
萊納爾·梅西
$377,351 交易量
44%
拉明·亞馬爾
$340,659 交易量
29%
哈里·凱恩
$1,142,632 交易量
16%
基利安·姆巴佩
$409,749 交易量
7%
奧斯曼·登貝萊
$804,420 交易量
2%
克維查·克瓦拉茨赫利亞
$176,355 交易量
1%
邁克爾·奧利塞
$241,618 交易量
1%
迪克蘭·賴斯
$170,760 交易量
<1%
厄林·哈蘭德
$426,164 交易量
<1%
佩德里
$379,480 交易量
<1%
勞塔羅·馬丁內斯
$104,362 交易量
<1%
裘德·貝林漢
$470,647 交易量
<1%
穆罕默德·薩拉赫
$639,331 交易量
<1%
維尼修斯·儒尼奧爾
$716,655 交易量
<1%
科爾·帕爾默
$294,018 交易量
<1%
維蒂尼亞
$165,603 交易量
<1%
朱利安·阿爾瓦雷斯
$337,979 交易量
<1%
拉芬尼亞
$336,186 交易量
<1%
布魯諾·費爾南德斯
$347,633 交易量
<1%
克里斯蒂亞諾·羅納爾多
$165,737 交易量
<1%
費德里科·巴爾韋德
$96,586 交易量
<1%
德西雷·杜埃
$270,190 交易量
<1%
阿什拉夫·哈基米
$289,720 交易量
<1%
路易斯·迪亞斯
$125,042 交易量
<1%
多米尼克·索博斯洛伊
$145,269 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
市場開放時間： Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
交易量
$8,973,364結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
交易量
$8,973,364結束日期
2026-10-31市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions