Skip to main content

如需在美國交易，請前往 polymarket.us

icon for 2026年女子金球獎得主
運動·足球

2026年女子金球獎得主

icon for 2026年女子金球獎得主
運動·足球

2026年女子金球獎得主

Alexia Putellas 59%

Mariona Caldentey 26.3%

Alessia Russo 18.1%

Ewa Pajor 17%

Polymarket
最新

Alexia Putellas 59%

Mariona Caldentey 26.3%

Alessia Russo 18.1%

Ewa Pajor 17%

Polymarket
最新

Alexia Putellas

$116 交易量

59%

Mariona Caldentey

$25 交易量

26%

Alessia Russo

$25 交易量

18%

Ewa Pajor

$25 交易量

17%

Salma Paralluelo

$25 交易量

15%

Claudia Pina

$118 交易量

10%

Caroline Graham Hansen

$25 交易量

10%

Vicky Lopez

$25 交易量

8%

Sandy Baltimore

$25 交易量

8%

Aitana Bonmati

$20 交易量

3%

Patri Guijarro

$25 交易量

1%

Lea Schuller

$25 交易量

1%

Lindsey Heaps

$25 交易量

1%

Hannah Hampton

$25 交易量

1%

Chloe Kelly

$25 交易量

1%

Lucy Bronze

$25 交易量

1%

Barbra Banda

$25 交易量

1%

Temwa Chawinga

$25 交易量

1%

Sofia Cantore

$25 交易量

1%

Klara Buhl

$25 交易量

10%

This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alexia Putellas leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or, driven by her pivotal role in Barcelona's quadruple-winning 2025-26 campaign, including UEFA Women's Champions League success where she earned Player of the Season honors alongside strong goal and assist contributions. The September 8 nominee shortlist announcement reinforced this edge, as three-time winner Aitana Bonmati's absence due to injury opened the race. Ewa Pajor sits as the nearest challenger at 18% on the strength of her 11 UCL goals, while other nominees like Salma Paralluelo, Claudia Pina, and Alessia Russo trade in the 10-15% range reflecting solid but less dominant individual seasons across league and European play. The October 26 ceremony in London remains the resolution trigger.

This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$678
結束日期
2026-10-27
市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alexia Putellas leads trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or, driven by her pivotal role in Barcelona's quadruple-winning 2025-26 campaign, including UEFA Women's Champions League success where she earned Player of the Season honors alongside strong goal and assist contributions. The September 8 nominee shortlist announcement reinforced this edge, as three-time winner Aitana Bonmati's absence due to injury opened the race. Ewa Pajor sits as the nearest challenger at 18% on the strength of her 11 UCL goals, while other nominees like Salma Paralluelo, Claudia Pina, and Alessia Russo trade in the 10-15% range reflecting solid but less dominant individual seasons across league and European play. The October 26 ceremony in London remains the resolution trigger.

This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.

If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the player who is officially named the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If no 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or winner is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$678
結束日期
2026-10-27
市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

相關

icon for 哈里·凱恩會贏得2026年金球獎嗎？

哈里·凱恩會贏得2026年金球獎嗎？

62%
是
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

94%
icon for Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

98%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年女子金球獎得主" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexia Putellas" at 59%, followed by "Mariona Caldentey" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年女子金球獎得主" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年女子金球獎得主," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年女子金球獎得主" is "Alexia Putellas" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mariona Caldentey" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年女子金球獎得主" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.