The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act as part of reconciliation adjustments to prior tax rules, took effect for tax year 2026 and remains current law. Multiple bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have drawn support from the American Gaming Association and lawmakers from key states, yet all have stalled without floor action after repeated blocks in the House Rules Committee and Senate procedural holds. Recent advocacy, such as a May 2026 letter from UFC's Dana White to the administration and a July IRS hearing on implementing regulations, has not produced legislative momentum. With competing priorities and the provision projected to raise revenue, trader consensus assigns low probability to full repeal by December 31, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
20% 機率
$71,489 交易量
$71,489 交易量
2026-12-31
是
20% 機率
$71,489 交易量
$71,489 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act as part of reconciliation adjustments to prior tax rules, took effect for tax year 2026 and remains current law. Multiple bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have drawn support from the American Gaming Association and lawmakers from key states, yet all have stalled without floor action after repeated blocks in the House Rules Committee and Senate procedural holds. Recent advocacy, such as a May 2026 letter from UFC's Dana White to the administration and a July IRS hearing on implementing regulations, has not produced legislative momentum. With competing priorities and the provision projected to raise revenue, trader consensus assigns low probability to full repeal by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$71,489結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act as part of reconciliation adjustments to prior tax rules, took effect for tax year 2026 and remains current law. Multiple bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have drawn support from the American Gaming Association and lawmakers from key states, yet all have stalled without floor action after repeated blocks in the House Rules Committee and Senate procedural holds. Recent advocacy, such as a May 2026 letter from UFC's Dana White to the administration and a July IRS hearing on implementing regulations, has not produced legislative momentum. With competing priorities and the provision projected to raise revenue, trader consensus assigns low probability to full repeal by December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$71,489結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETThe 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act as part of reconciliation adjustments to prior tax rules, took effect for tax year 2026 and remains current law. Multiple bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, have drawn support from the American Gaming Association and lawmakers from key states, yet all have stalled without floor action after repeated blocks in the House Rules Committee and Senate procedural holds. Recent advocacy, such as a May 2026 letter from UFC's Dana White to the administration and a July IRS hearing on implementing regulations, has not produced legislative momentum. With competing priorities and the provision projected to raise revenue, trader consensus assigns low probability to full repeal by December 31, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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