Trader consensus positions Israel as the clear televote frontrunner at 40% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, driven by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a multilingual power ballad released in early March that echoes the country's strong public vote hauls in recent contests like 2024's Hurricane. Finland's high-energy duet "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen (UMK winners in late February) holds steady at 15%, buoyed by upbeat streaming traction and OGAE fan poll leads, while Greece's Akylas with the viral party anthem "Ferto" (national final victor in mid-February) sits close at 14.5% on its explosive live previews and diaspora mobilization potential. With all 35 entries unveiled by mid-March and previews like Eurovision in Concert underway, public sentiment favors crowd-pleasing hooks amid Vienna's May 12-16 showdown, though rehearsals could spark shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽:電視票選冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽:電視票選冠軍
以色列 40%
芬蘭 15%
希臘 15%
羅馬尼亞 5.9%
$5,612,193 交易量
$5,612,193 交易量

以色列
40%

芬蘭
15%

希臘
15%

羅馬尼亞
6%

烏克蘭
5%

摩爾多瓦
2%

法國
2%

義大利
2%

瑞典
2%

丹麥
1%

澳洲
1%

塞浦路斯
1%

蒙特內哥羅
1%

瑞士
1%

波蘭
1%

保加利亞
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

德國
1%

馬爾他
1%

奧地利
<1%

比利時
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

盧森堡
<1%

聖馬利諾
<1%

英國
<1%

捷克
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

挪威
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

喬治亞
<1%
以色列 40%
芬蘭 15%
希臘 15%
羅馬尼亞 5.9%
$5,612,193 交易量
$5,612,193 交易量

以色列
40%

芬蘭
15%

希臘
15%

羅馬尼亞
6%

烏克蘭
5%

摩爾多瓦
2%

法國
2%

義大利
2%

瑞典
2%

丹麥
1%

澳洲
1%

塞浦路斯
1%

蒙特內哥羅
1%

瑞士
1%

波蘭
1%

保加利亞
1%

克羅埃西亞
1%

德國
1%

馬爾他
1%

奧地利
<1%

比利時
<1%

愛沙尼亞
<1%

盧森堡
<1%

聖馬利諾
<1%

英國
<1%

捷克
<1%

塞爾維亞
<1%

阿爾巴尼亞
<1%

拉脫維亞
<1%

立陶宛
<1%

阿塞拜疆
<1%

挪威
<1%

葡萄牙
<1%

亞美尼亞
<1%

喬治亞
<1%
This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: Mar 19, 2026, 7:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.
All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions Israel as the clear televote frontrunner at 40% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, driven by Noam Bettan's "Michelle"—a multilingual power ballad released in early March that echoes the country's strong public vote hauls in recent contests like 2024's Hurricane. Finland's high-energy duet "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen (UMK winners in late February) holds steady at 15%, buoyed by upbeat streaming traction and OGAE fan poll leads, while Greece's Akylas with the viral party anthem "Ferto" (national final victor in mid-February) sits close at 14.5% on its explosive live previews and diaspora mobilization potential. With all 35 entries unveiled by mid-March and previews like Eurovision in Concert underway, public sentiment favors crowd-pleasing hooks amid Vienna's May 12-16 showdown, though rehearsals could spark shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions