Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on May 5?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 5?
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$72,227 交易量
$72,227 交易量
2026-05-05
3°C or below
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C or higher
Yes
13°C or higher 100.0%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
5°C <1%
$72,227 交易量
$72,227 交易量
2026-05-05
3°C or below
$2,188 交易量
No
4°C
$1,419 交易量
No
5°C
$578 交易量
No
6°C
$2,411 交易量
No
7°C
$2,370 交易量
No
8°C
$2,934 交易量
No
9°C
$5,450 交易量
No
10°C
$9,310 交易量
No
11°C
$15,670 交易量
No
12°C
$18,728 交易量
No
13°C or higher
$11,169 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$72,227結束日期
2026-05-05市場開放時間
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$72,227結束日期
2026-05-05市場開放時間
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for Ankara's highest temperature reaching 13°C or higher on May 5, 2026, anchored by the latest forecast from Turkey's Meteoroloji Genel Müdürlüğü indicating a daytime maximum of exactly 13°C amid very cloudy conditions and light rain. This positioning follows an anomalous early-May cold snap, with prior days logging highs around 7–9°C well below the typical 19–20°C early-month average, but recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles signals modest recovery driven by weakening northerly winds and reduced precipitation intensity. Historical data at Ankara's Esenboğa station shows May highs rarely falling below 12°C even during cold outbreaks. Realistic challenges include persistent low cloud cover or unexpected heavy showers stifling afternoon heating, with peak temperatures typically observed between 2–5 p.m. local time; real-time observations from official stations will provide final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions