Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on May 7?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 7?
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$88,711 交易量
$88,711 交易量
2026-05-07
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$88,711 交易量
$88,711 交易量
2026-05-07
65°F or below
$16,797 交易量
No
66-67°F
$12,585 交易量
No
68-69°F
$6,430 交易量
Yes
70-71°F
$6,913 交易量
No
72-73°F
$4,678 交易量
No
74-75°F
$6,062 交易量
No
76-77°F
$9,797 交易量
No
78-79°F
$7,601 交易量
No
80-81°F
$7,831 交易量
No
82-83°F
$5,034 交易量
No
84°F or higher
$4,983 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
交易量
$88,711結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$88,711結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions