National Weather Service forecast models show consensus for a high temperature near 78°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN) today, under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds 6-14 mph, driving the 100% market-implied probability on 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge promoting downslope warming and adiabatic compression typical in the Front Range, following yesterday's milder conditions around 67°F. Historical May data at KDEN (1991-2020 normals) indicate average highs of 68°F, with only 1% of days below 52°F, underscoring the scientific certainty. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though current guidance and ensemble models deem these low-risk; monitor hourly ASOS observations and midday NWS updates for confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on May 9?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 9?
44°F or higher 100.0%
25°F or below <1%
26-27°F <1%
28-29°F <1%
$144,794 交易量
$144,794 交易量
2026-05-09
25°F or below
No
26-27°F
No
28-29°F
No
30-31°F
No
32-33°F
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44°F or higher
Yes
44°F or higher 100.0%
25°F or below <1%
26-27°F <1%
28-29°F <1%
$144,794 交易量
$144,794 交易量
2026-05-09
25°F or below
$22,850 交易量
No
26-27°F
$15,124 交易量
No
28-29°F
$10,702 交易量
No
30-31°F
$6,509 交易量
No
32-33°F
$11,353 交易量
No
34-35°F
$3,456 交易量
No
36-37°F
$18,409 交易量
No
38-39°F
$793 交易量
No
40-41°F
$7,179 交易量
No
42-43°F
$19,968 交易量
No
44°F or higher
$28,453 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models show consensus for a high temperature near 78°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN) today, under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds 6-14 mph, driving the 100% market-implied probability on 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge promoting downslope warming and adiabatic compression typical in the Front Range, following yesterday's milder conditions around 67°F. Historical May data at KDEN (1991-2020 normals) indicate average highs of 68°F, with only 1% of days below 52°F, underscoring the scientific certainty. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though current guidance and ensemble models deem these low-risk; monitor hourly ASOS observations and midday NWS updates for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$144,794結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecast models show consensus for a high temperature near 78°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN) today, under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds 6-14 mph, driving the 100% market-implied probability on 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge promoting downslope warming and adiabatic compression typical in the Front Range, following yesterday's milder conditions around 67°F. Historical May data at KDEN (1991-2020 normals) indicate average highs of 68°F, with only 1% of days below 52°F, underscoring the scientific certainty. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though current guidance and ensemble models deem these low-risk; monitor hourly ASOS observations and midday NWS updates for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$144,794結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
National Weather Service forecast models show consensus for a high temperature near 78°F at Denver International Airport (KDEN) today, under mostly sunny skies with southwest winds 6-14 mph, driving the 100% market-implied probability on 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from a building high-pressure ridge promoting downslope warming and adiabatic compression typical in the Front Range, following yesterday's milder conditions around 67°F. Historical May data at KDEN (1991-2020 normals) indicate average highs of 68°F, with only 1% of days below 52°F, underscoring the scientific certainty. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent low clouds suppressing daytime heating, though current guidance and ensemble models deem these low-risk; monitor hourly ASOS observations and midday NWS updates for confirmation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions