Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 7, driven by confirmed observational data from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station, the official resolution source under National Center for Meteorology (NCM) monitoring. Hourly records show the peak hit 34°C midday amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderating sea breezes from the Red Sea, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting no exceedance. May climatological averages hover around 36°C, but today's cooler profile reflects lower solar insolation and light cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a rare late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or preliminary data revision during NCM quality checks, though evening cooling now minimizes this risk. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 7?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,829 交易量
$28,829 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$28,829 交易量
$28,829 交易量
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 5, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Jeddah's highest temperature reaching exactly 34°C on May 7, driven by confirmed observational data from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station, the official resolution source under National Center for Meteorology (NCM) monitoring. Hourly records show the peak hit 34°C midday amid stable high-pressure conditions and moderating sea breezes from the Red Sea, aligning with recent forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting no exceedance. May climatological averages hover around 36°C, but today's cooler profile reflects lower solar insolation and light cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require a rare late-afternoon heat burst from clearing skies or preliminary data revision during NCM quality checks, though evening cooling now minimizes this risk. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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