Official measurements from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—confirm Jeddah's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 35°C, locking in trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This matches pre-event forecast consensus from models like those powering AccuWeather and Weather.com, which projected highs near 35°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds typical of early May climatology, when regional averages hover around 36°C but recent cloudy patterns slightly moderated heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare post-validation data revisions by Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology (NCM), such as instrument recalibration errors, though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on May 9?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,162 交易量
$45,162 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$45,162 交易量
$45,162 交易量
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 7, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official measurements from the King Abdulaziz International Airport meteorological station—the market's resolution source—confirm Jeddah's highest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 35°C, locking in trader consensus at a 100% implied probability. This matches pre-event forecast consensus from models like those powering AccuWeather and Weather.com, which projected highs near 35°C under mostly sunny skies and light winds typical of early May climatology, when regional averages hover around 36°C but recent cloudy patterns slightly moderated heat buildup. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare post-validation data revisions by Saudi Arabia's National Center for Meteorology (NCM), such as instrument recalibration errors, though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions