Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lagos on May 9?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 9?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,236 交易量
$48,236 交易量
2026-05-09
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$48,236 交易量
$48,236 交易量
2026-05-09
27°C or below
$6,341 交易量
No
28°C
$3,225 交易量
No
29°C
$3,599 交易量
No
30°C
$3,404 交易量
No
31°C
$2,370 交易量
No
32°C
$2,739 交易量
No
33°C
$4,539 交易量
No
34°C
$9,649 交易量
Yes
35°C
$4,453 交易量
No
36°C
$4,076 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$3,840 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
交易量
$48,236結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$48,236結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:25 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport weather station, the authoritative source for this market, recorded Lagos's highest temperature at precisely 34°C on May 9, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as data feeds updated overnight. This aligns with NiMet's seasonal climate outlook for extended rainy periods in southern Nigeria, featuring partly cloudy skies, isolated thunderstorms, and highs moderated by 87% average cloud cover and humidity above 80%, capping peaks below typical dry-season extremes around 35–37°C. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, making 34°C a plausible upper bound under current La Niña-influenced patterns suppressing prolonged heat. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from instrument calibration errors or alternative station validations, though NiMet summaries rarely shift post-release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions