Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF currently project a Munich maximum near 21–22°C on July 19 under stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes. This aligns with mid-July climatology of roughly 23–24°C while reflecting subdued insolation and limited warm-air advection ahead of any frontal passage. Model spread remains modest given the short lead time, yet minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Fresh ensemble runs and observational updates through July 18 will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official DWD station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月19日慕尼黑最高溫度？
7月19日慕尼黑最高溫度？
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$63,669 交易量
$63,669 交易量
2026-07-19
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$63,669 交易量
$63,669 交易量
2026-07-19
19°C or below
$7,473 交易量
No
20°C
$7,256 交易量
No
21°C
$11,001 交易量
No
22°C
$7,490 交易量
No
23°C
$13,698 交易量
Yes
24°C
$9,825 交易量
No
25°C
$3,216 交易量
No
26°C
$2,775 交易量
No
27°C
$322 交易量
No
28°C
$361 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$251 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF currently project a Munich maximum near 21–22°C on July 19 under stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes. This aligns with mid-July climatology of roughly 23–24°C while reflecting subdued insolation and limited warm-air advection ahead of any frontal passage. Model spread remains modest given the short lead time, yet minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Fresh ensemble runs and observational updates through July 18 will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official DWD station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$63,669結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF currently project a Munich maximum near 21–22°C on July 19 under stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes. This aligns with mid-July climatology of roughly 23–24°C while reflecting subdued insolation and limited warm-air advection ahead of any frontal passage. Model spread remains modest given the short lead time, yet minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Fresh ensemble runs and observational updates through July 18 will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official DWD station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$63,669結束日期
2026-07-19市場開放時間
Jul 17, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and ECMWF currently project a Munich maximum near 21–22°C on July 19 under stable high pressure with moderate northwesterly flow, producing the tight clustering of implied probabilities around those outcomes. This aligns with mid-July climatology of roughly 23–24°C while reflecting subdued insolation and limited warm-air advection ahead of any frontal passage. Model spread remains modest given the short lead time, yet minor differences in boundary-layer mixing or localized convection could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Fresh ensemble runs and observational updates through July 18 will further constrain resolution criteria tied to official DWD station readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions