Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月9日慕尼黑最高溫度？
7月9日慕尼黑最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$115,751 交易量
$115,751 交易量
2026-07-09
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$115,751 交易量
$115,751 交易量
2026-07-09
23°C or below
$1,749 交易量
No
24°C
$24,374 交易量
No
25°C
$26,810 交易量
No
26°C
$17,627 交易量
Yes
27°C
$17,680 交易量
No
28°C
$9,887 交易量
No
29°C
$8,082 交易量
No
30°C
$1,948 交易量
No
31°C
$1,895 交易量
No
32°C
$2,486 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$3,213 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$115,751結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$115,751結束日期
2026-07-09市場開放時間
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions