Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on May 2?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 2?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$89,191 交易量
$89,191 交易量
2026-05-02
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$89,191 交易量
$89,191 交易量
2026-05-02
16°C or below
$2,437 交易量
No
17°C
$938 交易量
No
18°C
$1,392 交易量
No
19°C
$5,127 交易量
No
20°C
$7,779 交易量
No
21°C
$7,805 交易量
No
22°C
$13,751 交易量
No
23°C
$11,861 交易量
No
24°C
$12,988 交易量
No
25°C
$12,889 交易量
Yes
26°C or higher
$12,223 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$89,191結束日期
2026-05-02市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$89,191結束日期
2026-05-02市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station (EDDM) confirm the highest temperature on May 2 reached exactly 25°C around mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome under a stable high-pressure ridge. Clear skies, light southerly winds, and strong solar insolation from overnight lows near 13°C enabled optimal radiative warming, aligning precisely with pre-event ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting peaks in the 24–26°C range. Evening METAR reports showing drops below 21°C amid typical diurnal cooling further solidify the measurement. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions from quality control or station sensor recalibration, though satellite imagery and redundant observations make this highly improbable; final DWD daily summary expected post-midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions