Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the Polymarket resolution source via Wunderground, confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 7 reached 64°F in the mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 64-65°F outcome. This cool reading, well below the historical May average of 69°F, stemmed from overcast skies, northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a lingering Canadian air mass after a cold frontal passage earlier in the week, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA model analyses. Finalized hourly data released overnight solidified positioning, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument anomalies or data processing errors. Traders await Wunderground's archive for formal resolution, expected within 24-48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on May 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 7?
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$178,572 交易量
$178,572 交易量
2026-05-07
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
Yes
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
64-65°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$178,572 交易量
$178,572 交易量
2026-05-07
55°F or below
$4,911 交易量
No
56-57°F
$9,223 交易量
No
58-59°F
$24,314 交易量
No
60-61°F
$18,944 交易量
No
62-63°F
$29,911 交易量
No
64-65°F
$24,979 交易量
Yes
66-67°F
$25,052 交易量
No
68-69°F
$15,001 交易量
No
70-71°F
$10,166 交易量
No
72-73°F
$7,663 交易量
No
74°F or higher
$8,408 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the Polymarket resolution source via Wunderground, confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 7 reached 64°F in the mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 64-65°F outcome. This cool reading, well below the historical May average of 69°F, stemmed from overcast skies, northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a lingering Canadian air mass after a cold frontal passage earlier in the week, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA model analyses. Finalized hourly data released overnight solidified positioning, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument anomalies or data processing errors. Traders await Wunderground's archive for formal resolution, expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$178,572結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the Polymarket resolution source via Wunderground, confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 7 reached 64°F in the mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 64-65°F outcome. This cool reading, well below the historical May average of 69°F, stemmed from overcast skies, northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a lingering Canadian air mass after a cold frontal passage earlier in the week, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA model analyses. Finalized hourly data released overnight solidified positioning, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument anomalies or data processing errors. Traders await Wunderground's archive for formal resolution, expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$178,572結束日期
2026-05-07市場開放時間
May 5, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport station (KLGA), the Polymarket resolution source via Wunderground, confirm New York City's highest temperature on May 7 reached 64°F in the mid-afternoon, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for the 64-65°F outcome. This cool reading, well below the historical May average of 69°F, stemmed from overcast skies, northeast winds around 5-10 mph, and a lingering Canadian air mass after a cold frontal passage earlier in the week, suppressing daytime heating per NOAA model analyses. Finalized hourly data released overnight solidified positioning, with negligible risk of revision barring rare instrument anomalies or data processing errors. Traders await Wunderground's archive for formal resolution, expected within 24-48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions