Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月23日西雅圖的最高溫度？
6月23日西雅圖的最高溫度？
88-89°F 100.0%
華氏79度或以下 <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$71,337 交易量
$71,337 交易量
2026-06-23
華氏79度或以下
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
是
華氏90-91度
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
華氏98度或更高
否
88-89°F 100.0%
華氏79度或以下 <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$71,337 交易量
$71,337 交易量
2026-06-23
華氏79度或以下
$432 交易量
否
80-81°F
$2,320 交易量
否
82-83°F
$2,723 交易量
否
84-85°F
$8,653 交易量
否
86-87°F
$10,451 交易量
否
88-89°F
$12,687 交易量
是
華氏90-91度
$12,506 交易量
否
92-93°F
$18,051 交易量
否
94-95°F
$2,300 交易量
否
96-97°F
$506 交易量
否
華氏98度或更高
$708 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$71,337結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$71,337結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 9:04 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent National Weather Service model runs and ensemble guidance point to a strong upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and mostly sunny skies over western Washington, placing Seattle's June 23 maximum in the mid-to-upper 80s at Sea-Tac. Trader consensus clusters on 86–89°F bins because historical analogs and current soundings show limited marine-layer moderation from Puget Sound under light northerly flow, while small shifts in ridge position or timing of any onshore breeze could trim or boost the peak by 2–3°F. Above-normal seasonal temperatures driven by the broader Pacific Northwest heat pattern add upward pressure, yet coastal influences and typical diurnal ranges keep probabilities spread rather than concentrated above 90°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions