MetService's latest forecast, updated overnight, pins Wellington's maximum temperature on April 3 at 19°C amid fine conditions turning partly cloudy, with light northerlies fostering daytime heating—aligning with NIWA's autumn outlook for near- or above-normal temperatures in the region. This trader consensus at 94.7% implied probability reflects model agreement on wind speeds of 15–20 km/h and minimal cloud cover allowing solar insolation to peak around this level, consistent with April climatology where highs average 17°C but northerly flows often boost readings by 1–2°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected shower development or stronger gusts capping heating below 19°C, or extended clear skies pushing toward 20°C; hourly observations from Wellington Aero station will refine this as the day unfolds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 3?
19°C 92.3%
20°C 4.3%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$105,290 交易量
$105,290 交易量
19°C
92%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 92.3%
20°C 4.3%
21°C <1%
22°C or higher <1%
$105,290 交易量
$105,290 交易量
19°C
92%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest forecast, updated overnight, pins Wellington's maximum temperature on April 3 at 19°C amid fine conditions turning partly cloudy, with light northerlies fostering daytime heating—aligning with NIWA's autumn outlook for near- or above-normal temperatures in the region. This trader consensus at 94.7% implied probability reflects model agreement on wind speeds of 15–20 km/h and minimal cloud cover allowing solar insolation to peak around this level, consistent with April climatology where highs average 17°C but northerly flows often boost readings by 1–2°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected shower development or stronger gusts capping heating below 19°C, or extended clear skies pushing toward 20°C; hourly observations from Wellington Aero station will refine this as the day unfolds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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