Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and seeks a third term against Republican Darren Bailey, the 2022 nominee who prevailed in a four-candidate GOP primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Illinois’s structural lean and Pritzker’s prior victories by double-digit margins. Recent polling shows the incumbent maintaining substantial leads. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democrat price aligns with these fundamentals, including Pritzker’s established support in key population centers. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though such events remain low-probability catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$2,770 交易量
94%
共和黨
$2,710 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and seeks a third term against Republican Darren Bailey, the 2022 nominee who prevailed in a four-candidate GOP primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Illinois’s structural lean and Pritzker’s prior victories by double-digit margins. Recent polling shows the incumbent maintaining substantial leads. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democrat price aligns with these fundamentals, including Pritzker’s established support in key population centers. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though such events remain low-probability catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$5,480結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and seeks a third term against Republican Darren Bailey, the 2022 nominee who prevailed in a four-candidate GOP primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Illinois’s structural lean and Pritzker’s prior victories by double-digit margins. Recent polling shows the incumbent maintaining substantial leads. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democrat price aligns with these fundamentals, including Pritzker’s established support in key population centers. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though such events remain low-probability catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$5,480結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary and seeks a third term against Republican Darren Bailey, the 2022 nominee who prevailed in a four-candidate GOP primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Illinois’s structural lean and Pritzker’s prior victories by double-digit margins. Recent polling shows the incumbent maintaining substantial leads. Trader consensus reflected in the 92% Democrat price aligns with these fundamentals, including Pritzker’s established support in key population centers. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though such events remain low-probability catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions