Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his established record on state finances, education funding, and policy priorities, combined with consistent polling margins of around 20 points and heavy self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who previously lost to Pritzker in 2022, secured his party's nomination but faces structural challenges including limited resources and Illinois's Democratic voter base. Prediction market pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could stem from major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$11,266 交易量
$11,266 交易量
2026-11-02
JB 普利茨克（民主黨）
96%
達倫·貝利（共和黨）
3%
$11,266 交易量
$11,266 交易量
2026-11-02
JB 普利茨克（民主黨）
$5,184 交易量
96%
達倫·貝利（共和黨）
$6,082 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his established record on state finances, education funding, and policy priorities, combined with consistent polling margins of around 20 points and heavy self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who previously lost to Pritzker in 2022, secured his party's nomination but faces structural challenges including limited resources and Illinois's Democratic voter base. Prediction market pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could stem from major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$11,266結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his established record on state finances, education funding, and policy priorities, combined with consistent polling margins of around 20 points and heavy self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who previously lost to Pritzker in 2022, secured his party's nomination but faces structural challenges including limited resources and Illinois's Democratic voter base. Prediction market pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could stem from major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$11,266結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETIncumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his established record on state finances, education funding, and policy priorities, combined with consistent polling margins of around 20 points and heavy self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who previously lost to Pritzker in 2022, secured his party's nomination but faces structural challenges including limited resources and Illinois's Democratic voter base. Prediction market pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could stem from major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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