Paul Skenes leads trader consensus at 28% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, buoyed by his electric 2024 rookie campaign—11-3 record, 1.96 ERA, 170 strikeouts in 133 innings—but faces stiff competition from teammate Mitch Keller (23.2%), whose consistent mid-rotation reliability (3.91 ERA over 178.2 innings) and Pirates tandem synergy keep the market bunched. Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (21.1%) surges on raw stuff—triple-digit fastballs and plus sliders in minors—projected for a 2025 debut, embodying the high-upside volatility that tightens odds among young NL arms like Yamamoto and Sanchez amid health uncertainties, innings limits, and rotation battles. Historical Cy Young trends favor sustained workload and team contention, amplifying this wide-open race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於保羅·斯肯斯 23%
山本由伸 11%
Cristopher Sanchez 11%
諾蘭·麥克連 6.1%
保羅·斯肯斯
28%
山本由伸
11%
Cristopher Sanchez
11%
諾蘭·麥克連
6%
布蘭登·伍德拉夫
6%
杭特·格林
6%
尼克·洛多洛
5%
Logan Webb
5%
Chris Sale
4%
Zack Wheeler
3%
Blake Snell
3%
雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基
21%
大谷翔平
8%
Freddy Peralta
2%
泰勒·葛拉斯諾
2%
Eury Perez
2%
麥可·金
2%
Jesus Luzardo
2%
斯賓塞·施韋倫巴赫
2%
斯賓塞·史賓瑟
2%
尼克·皮維塔
2%
米奇·凱勒
23%
保羅·斯肯斯 23%
山本由伸 11%
Cristopher Sanchez 11%
諾蘭·麥克連 6.1%
保羅·斯肯斯
28%
山本由伸
11%
Cristopher Sanchez
11%
諾蘭·麥克連
6%
布蘭登·伍德拉夫
6%
杭特·格林
6%
尼克·洛多洛
5%
Logan Webb
5%
Chris Sale
4%
Zack Wheeler
3%
Blake Snell
3%
雅各布·米西奧羅夫斯基
21%
大谷翔平
8%
Freddy Peralta
2%
泰勒·葛拉斯諾
2%
Eury Perez
2%
麥可·金
2%
Jesus Luzardo
2%
斯賓塞·施韋倫巴赫
2%
斯賓塞·史賓瑟
2%
尼克·皮維塔
2%
米奇·凱勒
23%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Skenes leads trader consensus at 28% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young, buoyed by his electric 2024 rookie campaign—11-3 record, 1.96 ERA, 170 strikeouts in 133 innings—but faces stiff competition from teammate Mitch Keller (23.2%), whose consistent mid-rotation reliability (3.91 ERA over 178.2 innings) and Pirates tandem synergy keep the market bunched. Brewers prospect Jacob Misiorowski (21.1%) surges on raw stuff—triple-digit fastballs and plus sliders in minors—projected for a 2025 debut, embodying the high-upside volatility that tightens odds among young NL arms like Yamamoto and Sanchez amid health uncertainties, innings limits, and rotation battles. Historical Cy Young trends favor sustained workload and team contention, amplifying this wide-open race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
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