MLB: ERA Leader

MLB: ERA Leader — 討論

ChuDebbieSharp · 2026-04-22T21:06:25.738Z

關於MLB: ERA Leader的討論。交易者在 Polymarket 上分享見解和預測。

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.9%

Brayan Bello 3.6%

Max Fried 3.5%

Dylan Cease 3.1%

$1,767,150 交易量

2026-09-27

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

$1,891 交易量

Brayan Bello

$653 交易量

Max Fried

$107 交易量

Dylan Cease

$8,109 交易量

Tarik Skubal

$572 交易量

Nick Pivetta

$315 交易量

Hunter Brown

$661 交易量

Garrett Crochet

$323 交易量

Paul Skenes

$2,966 交易量

Shohei Ohtani

$9,650 交易量

Bryan Woo

$629,734 交易量

Taj Bradley

$348 交易量

Bryce Elder

$308 交易量

Nolan McLean

$341 交易量

Logan Webb

$460 交易量

Michael Wacha

$348 交易量

José Soriano

$1,833 交易量

Carmen Mlodzinski

$471 交易量

Eduardo Rodriguez

$1,018 交易量

Clay Holmes

$329 交易量

Freddy Peralta

$307 交易量

Chad Patrick

$291 交易量

Seth Lugo

$468 交易量

<1%

Jeffrey Springs

$1,092,633 交易量

<1%

Connelly Early

$308 交易量

<1%

Reynaldo López

$317 交易量

<1%

Matthew Boyd

$394 交易量

<1%

Emerson Hancock

$427 交易量

<1%

Joe Ryan

$230 交易量

<1%

Andrew Abbott

$957 交易量

<1%

Gavin Williams

$328 交易量

<1%

Carlos Rodón

$224 交易量

<1%

Cristopher Sánchez

$8,686 交易量

<1%

Merrill Kelly

$407 交易量

<1%

Jacob deGrom

$738 交易量

<1%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto 3.9%

Brayan Bello 3.6%

Max Fried 3.5%

Dylan Cease 3.1%

$1,767,150 交易量

2026-09-27

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

$1,891 交易量

Brayan Bello

$653 交易量

Max Fried

$107 交易量

Dylan Cease

$8,109 交易量

Tarik Skubal

$572 交易量

Nick Pivetta

$315 交易量

Hunter Brown

$661 交易量

Garrett Crochet

$323 交易量

Paul Skenes

$2,966 交易量

Shohei Ohtani

$9,650 交易量

Bryan Woo

$629,734 交易量

Taj Bradley

$348 交易量

Bryce Elder

$308 交易量

Nolan McLean

$341 交易量

Logan Webb

$460 交易量

Michael Wacha

$348 交易量

José Soriano

$1,833 交易量

Carmen Mlodzinski

$471 交易量

Eduardo Rodriguez

$1,018 交易量

Clay Holmes

$329 交易量

Freddy Peralta

$307 交易量

Chad Patrick

$291 交易量

Seth Lugo

$468 交易量

<1%

Jeffrey Springs

$1,092,633 交易量

<1%

Connelly Early

$308 交易量

<1%

Reynaldo López

$317 交易量

<1%

Matthew Boyd

$394 交易量

<1%

Emerson Hancock

$427 交易量

<1%

Joe Ryan

$230 交易量

<1%

Andrew Abbott

$957 交易量

<1%

Gavin Williams

$328 交易量

<1%

Carlos Rodón

$224 交易量

<1%

Cristopher Sánchez

$8,686 交易量

<1%

Merrill Kelly

$407 交易量

<1%

Jacob deGrom

$738 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

市場開放時間： Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET

交易量

$1,767,150

結束日期

2026-09-28

市場開放時間

Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

交易量

$1,767,150

結束日期

2026-09-28

市場開放時間

Apr 22, 2026, 4:53 PM ET

結算方

0x69c47De9D...

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: ERA Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Yoshinobu Yamamoto" at 4%, followed by "Brayan Bello" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: ERA Leader" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: ERA Leader," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "MLB: ERA Leader" is "Yoshinobu Yamamoto" at just 4%, with "Brayan Bello" close behind at 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "MLB: ERA Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "MLB: ERA Leader." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $1.8 million traded on “MLB: ERA Leader,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "MLB: ERA Leader," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 4¢ for "Yoshinobu Yamamoto" in the "MLB: ERA Leader" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 4% chance that "Yoshinobu Yamamoto" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 4¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 96¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "MLB: ERA Leader" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Sep 27, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "MLB: ERA Leader" market has a growing discussion of 3 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "MLB: ERA Leader." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

MLB: ERA Leader

MLB: ERA Leader

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Frequently Asked Questions

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