Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 44 home runs entering the final weeks of the 2026 regular season, creating a clear separation from the field that underpins his dominant 79% implied probability in the home run leader market. His recent power surge, including multiple homers in early September games against the Astros and Braves, has extended the advantage over pursuers such as Junior Caminero, Matt Olson, and Yordan Alvarez, who sit several homers back with roughly 20 games remaining. Trader consensus reflects the limited time left for challengers to close the gap through typical late-season pace, Schwarber’s consistent plate appearances as the Phillies’ designated hitter, and the absence of major roster or injury disruptions among the top contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kyle Schwarber 79%
Junior Caminero 3.5%
Matt Olson 1.5%
Yordan Alvarez <1%
$3,183,567 交易量
$3,183,567 交易量
Kyle Schwarber
79%
Junior Caminero
4%
Matt Olson
1%
Yordan Alvarez
1%
Munetaka Murakami
1%
Ben Rice
1%
James Wood
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 79%
Junior Caminero 3.5%
Matt Olson 1.5%
Yordan Alvarez <1%
$3,183,567 交易量
$3,183,567 交易量
Kyle Schwarber
79%
Junior Caminero
4%
Matt Olson
1%
Yordan Alvarez
1%
Munetaka Murakami
1%
Ben Rice
1%
James Wood
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kyle Schwarber leads MLB with 44 home runs entering the final weeks of the 2026 regular season, creating a clear separation from the field that underpins his dominant 79% implied probability in the home run leader market. His recent power surge, including multiple homers in early September games against the Astros and Braves, has extended the advantage over pursuers such as Junior Caminero, Matt Olson, and Yordan Alvarez, who sit several homers back with roughly 20 games remaining. Trader consensus reflects the limited time left for challengers to close the gap through typical late-season pace, Schwarber’s consistent plate appearances as the Phillies’ designated hitter, and the absence of major roster or injury disruptions among the top contenders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions