The ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for Benjamin Netanyahu over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains outstanding but unenforced, as the court relies on member-state cooperation that has not materialized for him. Trader odds stay low primarily because the United States—under President Trump—has sanctioned ICC personnel, rejected the court's jurisdiction over Israeli officials, and explicitly stated Netanyahu will not face arrest on U.S. soil during his planned September 2026 UN General Assembly appearance in New York. Israel continues to dismiss the warrant, while Netanyahu's travel avoids high-risk ICC parties or includes security arrangements. Domestic corruption proceedings in Israel have not produced custody, and no new ICC warrants or enforcement actions have advanced in 2026. The market's resolution hinges on physical custody by any law enforcement authority before the specified cutoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$24,719 交易量
2026-09-30
9月30日
1%
12月31日
6%
$24,719 交易量
9月30日
$18,465 交易量
1%
12月31日
$6,254 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for Benjamin Netanyahu over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains outstanding but unenforced, as the court relies on member-state cooperation that has not materialized for him. Trader odds stay low primarily because the United States—under President Trump—has sanctioned ICC personnel, rejected the court's jurisdiction over Israeli officials, and explicitly stated Netanyahu will not face arrest on U.S. soil during his planned September 2026 UN General Assembly appearance in New York. Israel continues to dismiss the warrant, while Netanyahu's travel avoids high-risk ICC parties or includes security arrangements. Domestic corruption proceedings in Israel have not produced custody, and no new ICC warrants or enforcement actions have advanced in 2026. The market's resolution hinges on physical custody by any law enforcement authority before the specified cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ET
交易量
$24,719結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for Benjamin Netanyahu over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains outstanding but unenforced, as the court relies on member-state cooperation that has not materialized for him. Trader odds stay low primarily because the United States—under President Trump—has sanctioned ICC personnel, rejected the court's jurisdiction over Israeli officials, and explicitly stated Netanyahu will not face arrest on U.S. soil during his planned September 2026 UN General Assembly appearance in New York. Israel continues to dismiss the warrant, while Netanyahu's travel avoids high-risk ICC parties or includes security arrangements. Domestic corruption proceedings in Israel have not produced custody, and no new ICC warrants or enforcement actions have advanced in 2026. The market's resolution hinges on physical custody by any law enforcement authority before the specified cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is arrested between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest occurs when Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true:
(i) Benjamin Netanyahu is criminally booked or processed;
(ii) Benjamin Netanyahu is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument;
(iii) Benjamin Netanyahu is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or
(iv) Benjamin Netanyahu is transported to a police station, immigration detention center, or equivalent criminal law enforcement center.
The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Benjamin Netanyahu being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds.
Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$24,719結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 4:33 PM ETThe ICC arrest warrant issued in November 2024 for Benjamin Netanyahu over alleged war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza remains outstanding but unenforced, as the court relies on member-state cooperation that has not materialized for him. Trader odds stay low primarily because the United States—under President Trump—has sanctioned ICC personnel, rejected the court's jurisdiction over Israeli officials, and explicitly stated Netanyahu will not face arrest on U.S. soil during his planned September 2026 UN General Assembly appearance in New York. Israel continues to dismiss the warrant, while Netanyahu's travel avoids high-risk ICC parties or includes security arrangements. Domestic corruption proceedings in Israel have not produced custody, and no new ICC warrants or enforcement actions have advanced in 2026. The market's resolution hinges on physical custody by any law enforcement authority before the specified cutoff.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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