Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TSA passenger screenings for March 18 tightly around 2.2 million, with <2.2M and 2.2M-2.4M bins each above 50%, driven by recent throughput hovering at 1.9M-2.15M through March 17 amid building spring break demand and post-NCAA tournament weekend lulls. The race stays neck-and-neck due to weekday volatility—typically lower than Fridays but boosted by vacation travel—and mild weather forecasts lacking major disruptions. Separation could emerge from preliminary TSA morning data, real-time flight cancellation updates from airlines like Delta or United, or confirmed spring break surges in Florida hubs, potentially tipping volumes toward 2.4M+ if leisure traffic accelerates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於<2.2M 50%
2.4M-2.6M 46%
>3.0M 46%
2.8M-3.0M 41%
$564 交易量
$564 交易量
<2.2M
50%
2.2M-2.4M
52%
2.4M-2.6M
46%
2.6M-2.8M
39%
2.8M-3.0M
41%
>3.0M
46%
<2.2M 50%
2.4M-2.6M 46%
>3.0M 46%
2.8M-3.0M 41%
$564 交易量
$564 交易量
<2.2M
50%
2.2M-2.4M
52%
2.4M-2.6M
46%
2.6M-2.8M
39%
2.8M-3.0M
41%
>3.0M
46%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市場開放時間: Mar 17, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices TSA passenger screenings for March 18 tightly around 2.2 million, with <2.2M and 2.2M-2.4M bins each above 50%, driven by recent throughput hovering at 1.9M-2.15M through March 17 amid building spring break demand and post-NCAA tournament weekend lulls. The race stays neck-and-neck due to weekday volatility—typically lower than Fridays but boosted by vacation travel—and mild weather forecasts lacking major disruptions. Separation could emerge from preliminary TSA morning data, real-time flight cancellation updates from airlines like Delta or United, or confirmed spring break surges in Florida hubs, potentially tipping volumes toward 2.4M+ if leisure traffic accelerates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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