Trader consensus favors 6500-7000 US flight delays on March 24 at 24% implied probability, with 6000-6500 close behind at 17%, reflecting uncertainty in Northeast and Midwest winter weather forecasts. Recent NOAA updates predict 6-12 inches of snow across hubs like Chicago O'Hare and New York-area airports, potentially disrupting 10-15% of 45,000 daily flights, but milder southern conditions temper extremes. Historical March averages hover around 5500-6500 delays, tightened by improving FAA staffing and airline contingency plans. The race stays neck-and-neck due to evolving models showing possible storm weakening; separation could come from afternoon radar confirms or ground stop announcements by 2 PM ET.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於6500-7000 43%
6000-6500 17%
5500-6000 14%
少於5000 10.2%
$2,428 交易量
$2,428 交易量
少於5000
10%
5000-5500
4%
5500-6000
14%
6000-6500
17%
6500-7000
24%
7000-7500
3%
7500-8000
2%
>8000
7%
6500-7000 43%
6000-6500 17%
5500-6000 14%
少於5000 10.2%
$2,428 交易量
$2,428 交易量
少於5000
10%
5000-5500
4%
5500-6000
14%
6000-6500
17%
6500-7000
24%
7000-7500
3%
7500-8000
2%
>8000
7%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 6500-7000 US flight delays on March 24 at 24% implied probability, with 6000-6500 close behind at 17%, reflecting uncertainty in Northeast and Midwest winter weather forecasts. Recent NOAA updates predict 6-12 inches of snow across hubs like Chicago O'Hare and New York-area airports, potentially disrupting 10-15% of 45,000 daily flights, but milder southern conditions temper extremes. Historical March averages hover around 5500-6500 delays, tightened by improving FAA staffing and airline contingency plans. The race stays neck-and-neck due to evolving models showing possible storm weakening; separation could come from afternoon radar confirms or ground stop announcements by 2 PM ET.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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