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NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Darializa Avila Chevalier 100.0%

Adriano Espaillat <1%

Jaleel Amador <1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$580,132 交易量

Darializa Avila Chevalier 100.0%

Adriano Espaillat <1%

Jaleel Amador <1%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$580,132 交易量

Adriano Espaillat

$331,714 交易量

No

Jaleel Amador

$1,523 交易量

No

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$225,862 交易量

Yes

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$2,357 交易量

No

James Felton Keith

$2,365 交易量

No

Matt Miller

$6,453 交易量

No

Megan Rodriguez

$2,029 交易量

No

Oscar Romero

$7,829 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Darializa Avila Chevalier holds a narrow lead in the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 56.5%, just ahead of five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 44.5%, with all other candidates at 0.1%.** The June 23 primary features a competitive contest driven by Chevalier's late-May endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and backing from NYC DSA and Justice Democrats, which have boosted her profile as a pro-Palestinian activist and community organizer. Recent events include a June 16 NY1 debate and earlier forums marked by sharp exchanges on immigration policy, ICE, and campaign funding, alongside Espaillat's negative ads highlighting Chevalier's past social media posts. Super PAC spending has surged on both sides, and a recent poll showed the race essentially tied or with Chevalier narrowly ahead. These developments have narrowed what was once seen as a strong incumbent advantage, producing the current tight trader consensus in the final days before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$580,132
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Darializa Avila Chevalier holds a narrow lead in the NY-13 Democratic primary market at 56.5%, just ahead of five-term incumbent Adriano Espaillat at 44.5%, with all other candidates at 0.1%.** The June 23 primary features a competitive contest driven by Chevalier's late-May endorsement from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and backing from NYC DSA and Justice Democrats, which have boosted her profile as a pro-Palestinian activist and community organizer. Recent events include a June 16 NY1 debate and earlier forums marked by sharp exchanges on immigration policy, ICE, and campaign funding, alongside Espaillat's negative ads highlighting Chevalier's past social media posts. Super PAC spending has surged on both sides, and a recent poll showed the race essentially tied or with Chevalier narrowly ahead. These developments have narrowed what was once seen as a strong incumbent advantage, producing the current tight trader consensus in the final days before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$580,132
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Darializa Avila Chevalier" at 100%, followed by "Adriano Espaillat" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $580.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 19, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Darializa Avila Chevalier" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adriano Espaillat" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.