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icon for MI-01民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·美國大選

MI-01民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for MI-01民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·美國大選

MI-01民主黨初選獲勝者

Callie Barr 81%

Kyle Blomquist 19%

Wayne Stiles <1%

Polymarket

$40,302 交易量

Callie Barr 81%

Kyle Blomquist 19%

Wayne Stiles <1%

Polymarket

$40,302 交易量

icon for Callie Barr

Callie Barr

$18,647 交易量

81%

icon for Kyle Blomquist

Kyle Blomquist

$19,554 交易量

19%

icon for Wayne Stiles

Wayne Stiles

$2,101 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Callie Barr holds a strong lead in the Michigan 1st District Democratic primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, reflecting her position as the 2024 nominee, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $800,000 with over $500,000 cash on hand, and established name recognition across the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. Kyle Blomquist, an Iron Mountain city councilor, trails as a more localized challenger with moderate resources, while Wayne Stiles remains a distant option with minimal fundraising. Early voting and absentee ballots are already underway, and trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with campaign finance data and structural advantages rather than recent polling shifts. No major late developments have altered the positioning in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$40,302
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Callie Barr holds a strong lead in the Michigan 1st District Democratic primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, reflecting her position as the 2024 nominee, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $800,000 with over $500,000 cash on hand, and established name recognition across the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. Kyle Blomquist, an Iron Mountain city councilor, trails as a more localized challenger with moderate resources, while Wayne Stiles remains a distant option with minimal fundraising. Early voting and absentee ballots are already underway, and trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with campaign finance data and structural advantages rather than recent polling shifts. No major late developments have altered the positioning in the final days.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$40,302
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Callie Barr" at 81%, followed by "Kyle Blomquist" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-01民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $40.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-01民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Callie Barr" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kyle Blomquist" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-01民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.