Trader sentiment for MrBeast's next video first-week views centers on the 60-70 million range at 32% implied probability, reflecting his recent track record of massive YouTube launches amid subscriber growth past 300 million. Historical data shows his past five main-channel uploads averaging 62 million views in week one, with standouts like high-stakes challenges hitting 80-90 million via viral thumbnails and philanthropy hooks. Close competition from 50-60 million (30%) and 80-90 million (30%) odds stems from uncertainty over the teased format—potentially a record-breaking giveaway or collab—versus algorithm fatigue or holiday distractions. Key differentiators include title reveal timing and cross-platform hype on TikTok and X, where fan speculation fuels optimism for a breakout above 70 million if it captures Squid Game-level buzz.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
60-70M 32%
50-60M 30%
80-90M 30%
70-80M 29%
<40M
3%
40-50M
10%
50-60M
30%
60-70M
32%
70-80M
29%
80-90M
30%
90M+
20%
60-70M 32%
50-60M 30%
80-90M 30%
70-80M 29%
<40M
3%
40-50M
10%
50-60M
30%
60-70M
32%
70-80M
29%
80-90M
30%
90M+
20%
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Mar 16, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for MrBeast's next video first-week views centers on the 60-70 million range at 32% implied probability, reflecting his recent track record of massive YouTube launches amid subscriber growth past 300 million. Historical data shows his past five main-channel uploads averaging 62 million views in week one, with standouts like high-stakes challenges hitting 80-90 million via viral thumbnails and philanthropy hooks. Close competition from 50-60 million (30%) and 80-90 million (30%) odds stems from uncertainty over the teased format—potentially a record-breaking giveaway or collab—versus algorithm fatigue or holiday distractions. Key differentiators include title reveal timing and cross-platform hype on TikTok and X, where fan speculation fuels optimism for a breakout above 70 million if it captures Squid Game-level buzz.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions