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選舉·共和黨初選

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for OK-01 Republican Primary Winner
選舉·共和黨初選

OK-01 Republican Primary Winner

Mark Tedford 100.0%

Jed Cochran <1%

Nancy Dyson <1%

Jackson Lahmeyer <1%

Polymarket

$165,909 交易量

Mark Tedford 100.0%

Jed Cochran <1%

Nancy Dyson <1%

Jackson Lahmeyer <1%

Polymarket

$165,909 交易量

Jed Cochran

$5,771 交易量

No

Nancy Dyson

$2,893 交易量

No

Jackson Lahmeyer

$65,106 交易量

No

Paul Royse

$2,034 交易量

No

Mark Tedford

$53,883 交易量

Yes

Kelly B. Walsh

$2,126 交易量

No

Nathan Butterfield

$7,603 交易量

No

Kim David

$6,735 交易量

No

Courtney Gill

$2,031 交易量

No

Dan Rooney

$9,853 交易量

No

Jackson Stallings

$2,555 交易量

No

Todd Woods

$5,318 交易量

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary with roughly 32% of the vote and advancing to an August runoff that was later canceled.** In a crowded field of more than ten candidates, Tedford outperformed Trump-endorsed pastor Jackson Lahmeyer (approximately 26%) and the rest of the field, including businessman Nathan Butterfield. Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew, prompting Trump to shift his endorsement to Tedford. This combination of primary results, withdrawal, and high-profile backing has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Tedford is the nominee. The market prices reflect the effective resolution of the contest in Tedford’s favor. A reversal would require an extraordinary development such as Lahmeyer reversing his withdrawal before any formal certification or an unforeseen procedural challenge—both considered highly remote given the timeline and current dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$165,909
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary with roughly 32% of the vote and advancing to an August runoff that was later canceled.** In a crowded field of more than ten candidates, Tedford outperformed Trump-endorsed pastor Jackson Lahmeyer (approximately 26%) and the rest of the field, including businessman Nathan Butterfield. Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew, prompting Trump to shift his endorsement to Tedford. This combination of primary results, withdrawal, and high-profile backing has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Tedford is the nominee. The market prices reflect the effective resolution of the contest in Tedford’s favor. A reversal would require an extraordinary development such as Lahmeyer reversing his withdrawal before any formal certification or an unforeseen procedural challenge—both considered highly remote given the timeline and current dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$165,909
結束日期
2026-06-16
市場開放時間
Apr 22, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 16, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

已提議結果: No

無爭議

最終結果: No

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OK-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mark Tedford" at 100%, followed by "Jed Cochran" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OK-01 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $165.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OK-01 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OK-01 Republican Primary Winner" is "Mark Tedford" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jed Cochran" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OK-01 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.