**Strong pre-release tracking from multiple industry forecasters has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the $9.5–11 million range for Passenger’s four-day Memorial Day opening.** Comparable late-May horror titles such as The Last Voyage of the Demeter and The Boogeyman, combined with Paramount’s marketing push for the André Øvredal-directed supernatural thriller, pointed to mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results in a crowded frame. Heavy counterprogramming from Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu and fellow genre releases like Obsession has capped upside potential while establishing a clear floor, keeping the market-implied odds locked on this narrow band. Any meaningful departure would require either stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth or an unusually soft performance from the weekend’s bigger titles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《乘客》周末4日票房開啓
《乘客》周末4日票房開啓
9.5-11百萬 100.0%
少於800萬 <1%
800萬-950萬 <1%
1100萬-1250萬 <1%
$57,893 交易量
$57,893 交易量
2026-05-26
少於800萬
否
800萬-950萬
否
9.5-11百萬
是
1100萬-1250萬
否
>1,250萬
否
9.5-11百萬 100.0%
少於800萬 <1%
800萬-950萬 <1%
1100萬-1250萬 <1%
$57,893 交易量
$57,893 交易量
2026-05-26
少於800萬
$9,064 交易量
否
800萬-950萬
$18,753 交易量
否
9.5-11百萬
$11,541 交易量
是
1100萬-1250萬
$13,213 交易量
否
>1,250萬
$5,323 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to how much "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong pre-release tracking from multiple industry forecasters has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the $9.5–11 million range for Passenger’s four-day Memorial Day opening.** Comparable late-May horror titles such as The Last Voyage of the Demeter and The Boogeyman, combined with Paramount’s marketing push for the André Øvredal-directed supernatural thriller, pointed to mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results in a crowded frame. Heavy counterprogramming from Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu and fellow genre releases like Obsession has capped upside potential while establishing a clear floor, keeping the market-implied odds locked on this narrow band. Any meaningful departure would require either stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth or an unusually soft performance from the weekend’s bigger titles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$57,893結束日期
2026-05-26市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to how much "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong pre-release tracking from multiple industry forecasters has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the $9.5–11 million range for Passenger’s four-day Memorial Day opening.** Comparable late-May horror titles such as The Last Voyage of the Demeter and The Boogeyman, combined with Paramount’s marketing push for the André Øvredal-directed supernatural thriller, pointed to mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results in a crowded frame. Heavy counterprogramming from Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu and fellow genre releases like Obsession has capped upside potential while establishing a clear floor, keeping the market-implied odds locked on this narrow band. Any meaningful departure would require either stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth or an unusually soft performance from the weekend’s bigger titles.
This market will resolve according to how much "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 4-day opening weekend (May 22 - May 25) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 4-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$57,893結束日期
2026-05-26市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Strong pre-release tracking from multiple industry forecasters has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the $9.5–11 million range for Passenger’s four-day Memorial Day opening.** Comparable late-May horror titles such as The Last Voyage of the Demeter and The Boogeyman, combined with Paramount’s marketing push for the André Øvredal-directed supernatural thriller, pointed to mid-single-digit to low-double-digit results in a crowded frame. Heavy counterprogramming from Star Wars: The Mandalorian & Grogu and fellow genre releases like Obsession has capped upside potential while establishing a clear floor, keeping the market-implied odds locked on this narrow band. Any meaningful departure would require either stronger-than-expected word-of-mouth or an unusually soft performance from the weekend’s bigger titles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions