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政治·批準

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

Market icon
政治·批準

Starmer approval Up or Down in April?

上升

58% chance
Polymarket
NEW

上升

58% chance
Polymarket
NEW
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister was 21% as of March 23, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Trader consensus gives a 58% implied probability to UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's approval rating rising in April, reflecting a modest rebound in recent YouGov and Ipsos polls showing net approval ticking up from March lows. This shift stems from positive market reactions to falling inflation data and Starmer's speeches emphasizing economic stability, partially offsetting fallout from the autumn budget's tax increases, winter fuel payment cuts, and farmer protests. Ongoing public sector pay disputes and Reform UK's polling gains keep the outcome closely contested, with upcoming local elections and further economic releases as pivotal events that could tip sentiment before month-end resolution.

Trader consensus gives a 58% implied probability to UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's approval rating rising in April, reflecting a modest rebound in recent YouGov and Ipsos polls showing net approval ticking up from March lows. This shift stems from positive market reactions to falling inflation data and Starmer's speeches emphasizing economic stability, partially offsetting fallout from the autumn budget's tax increases, winter fuel payment cuts, and farmer protests. Ongoing public sector pay disputes and Reform UK's polling gains keep the outcome closely contested, with upcoming local elections and further economic releases as pivotal events that could tip sentiment before month-end resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
According to YouGov's most recent data point, the percentage of all adults who think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister was 21% as of March 23, 2026 (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). This market will resolve to "Up" if the next data point released for "all adults" who "think that Keir Starmer is doing well as Prime Minister" is higher than 21%. This market will resolve to "Down" if the next respective data point released is lower than 21%. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the next respective data point released is exactly 21%, or if no new data point is published by April 30, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying data point has been published. This market will resolve solely based on the approval tracker "How well is Keir Starmer doing as Prime Minister?" by YouGov (https://yougov.com/en-gb/trackers/keir-starmer-prime-minister-approval). If the website is temporarily unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. Note: Only the specified source will be used for resolution, regardless of methodological changes or projections by other sources.Trader consensus gives a 58% implied probability to UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's approval rating rising in April, reflecting a modest rebound in recent YouGov and Ipsos polls showing net approval ticking up from March lows. This shift stems from positive market reactions to falling inflation data and Starmer's speeches emphasizing economic stability, partially offsetting fallout from the autumn budget's tax increases, winter fuel payment cuts, and farmer protests. Ongoing public sector pay disputes and Reform UK's polling gains keep the outcome closely contested, with upcoming local elections and further economic releases as pivotal events that could tip sentiment before month-end resolution.

Trader consensus gives a 58% implied probability to UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's approval rating rising in April, reflecting a modest rebound in recent YouGov and Ipsos polls showing net approval ticking up from March lows. This shift stems from positive market reactions to falling inflation data and Starmer's speeches emphasizing economic stability, partially offsetting fallout from the autumn budget's tax increases, winter fuel payment cuts, and farmer protests. Ongoing public sector pay disputes and Reform UK's polling gains keep the outcome closely contested, with upcoming local elections and further economic releases as pivotal events that could tip sentiment before month-end resolution.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Starmer approval Up or Down in April?" is a daily prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether Starmer approval Up or Down in April?'s price will finish higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its opening price over the daily window specified in the title. The current market probability is 58% for "上升." A price of 58% means the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live Starmer approval Up or Down in April? price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Starmer approval Up or Down in April?" is an active short-term market on Polymarket. Trading volume can accumulate quickly as the daily window progresses — jump in early to help set the odds before this window closes.

To trade on "Starmer approval Up or Down in April?," decide whether you believe Starmer approval Up or Down in April?'s price at noon ET on April 29 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than Starmer approval Up or Down in April?'s price at noon ET on March 27. Buy "Up" if you think the price will rise day-over-day, or "Down" if you think it will fall. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

The current probability for "Starmer approval Up or Down in April?" is 58% for "上升," meaning the Polymarket crowd currently assigns a 58% chance that Starmer approval Up or Down in April?'s price will finish 上升 over this daily window. These odds update in real-time as traders react to live Starmer approval Up or Down in April? price data. Over a full day, odds reflect evolving sentiment as the day's price action unfolds. Check back frequently or trade now before the window closes.

The "Starmer approval Up or Down in April?" market resolves based on a comparison of Starmer approval Up or Down in April?'s price at noon ET on April 29 versus noon ET on March 27, using Binance STARMER-APPROVAL/USDT 1-minute candle close prices. If the April 29 noon price is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.