Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating tightly around 40% for April 3, with the 40.0–40.4% and 39.5–39.9% bins leading amid volatile polling averages stuck in the upper 30s to low 40s. This clustering stems from conflicting recent surveys: Rasmussen's April 1 tracker at 47% contrasts with Quinnipiac's 39% and an ABC News/Ipsos poll showing 42%, reflecting a persistent partisan gap where Republicans rally near 85% approval while Democrats hover below 10% and independents split near 38%. Key drivers include backlash to early executive orders on mass deportations and border security, which boosted base support but alienated moderates, alongside stock market dips from tariff threats offsetting gains from a robust March jobs report. The race stays neck-and-neck due to pollster discrepancies and daily White House announcements; separation could arise from upcoming CPI inflation data on April 10 or a major policy rollout like tax cut details.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Trump approval rating on April 3?
Trump approval rating on April 3?
39.5–39.9 33%
40.0–40.4 33%
40.5–40.9 29%
39.0–39.4 24%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
18%
39.0–39.4
24%
39.5–39.9
33%
40.0–40.4
33%
40.5–40.9
29%
41.0+
9%
39.5–39.9 33%
40.0–40.4 33%
40.5–40.9 29%
39.0–39.4 24%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
$35 交易量
18%
39.0–39.4
$0 交易量
24%
39.5–39.9
$0 交易量
33%
40.0–40.4
$0 交易量
33%
40.5–40.9
$0 交易量
29%
41.0+
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating tightly around 40% for April 3, with the 40.0–40.4% and 39.5–39.9% bins leading amid volatile polling averages stuck in the upper 30s to low 40s. This clustering stems from conflicting recent surveys: Rasmussen's April 1 tracker at 47% contrasts with Quinnipiac's 39% and an ABC News/Ipsos poll showing 42%, reflecting a persistent partisan gap where Republicans rally near 85% approval while Democrats hover below 10% and independents split near 38%. Key drivers include backlash to early executive orders on mass deportations and border security, which boosted base support but alienated moderates, alongside stock market dips from tariff threats offsetting gains from a robust March jobs report. The race stays neck-and-neck due to pollster discrepancies and daily White House announcements; separation could arise from upcoming CPI inflation data on April 10 or a major policy rollout like tax cut details.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
交易量
$35結束日期
Apr 4, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating tightly around 40% for April 3, with the 40.0–40.4% and 39.5–39.9% bins leading amid volatile polling averages stuck in the upper 30s to low 40s. This clustering stems from conflicting recent surveys: Rasmussen's April 1 tracker at 47% contrasts with Quinnipiac's 39% and an ABC News/Ipsos poll showing 42%, reflecting a persistent partisan gap where Republicans rally near 85% approval while Democrats hover below 10% and independents split near 38%. Key drivers include backlash to early executive orders on mass deportations and border security, which boosted base support but alienated moderates, alongside stock market dips from tariff threats offsetting gains from a robust March jobs report. The race stays neck-and-neck due to pollster discrepancies and daily White House announcements; separation could arise from upcoming CPI inflation data on April 10 or a major policy rollout like tax cut details.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$35結束日期
Apr 4, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices President Trump's approval rating tightly around 40% for April 3, with the 40.0–40.4% and 39.5–39.9% bins leading amid volatile polling averages stuck in the upper 30s to low 40s. This clustering stems from conflicting recent surveys: Rasmussen's April 1 tracker at 47% contrasts with Quinnipiac's 39% and an ABC News/Ipsos poll showing 42%, reflecting a persistent partisan gap where Republicans rally near 85% approval while Democrats hover below 10% and independents split near 38%. Key drivers include backlash to early executive orders on mass deportations and border security, which boosted base support but alienated moderates, alongside stock market dips from tariff threats offsetting gains from a robust March jobs report. The race stays neck-and-neck due to pollster discrepancies and daily White House announcements; separation could arise from upcoming CPI inflation data on April 10 or a major policy rollout like tax cut details.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions