Tesla shares closed June 26 at $379.71 amid intraday swings between $368.60 and $387.80, leaving weekly closing-price buckets clustered near current levels with implied probabilities tightly grouped around 49.5–50%. Primary drivers include mixed analyst forecasts for Q2 vehicle deliveries, where some firms project results above consensus while others cite softening demand signals, alongside ongoing investor focus on Tesla’s Q1 progress in supervised FSD, early Robotaxi operations, and energy-storage ramp. Recent price action reflects a pullback from June highs above $400, tempered by broader equity volatility and capital-expenditure plans exceeding $20 billion for AI and manufacturing infrastructure. With resolution just days away, trader positioning hinges on any last-minute delivery commentary or macroeconomic data releases that could shift near-term share-price expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$390-$395 100.0%
<$355 <1%
$355-$360 <1%
$360-$365 <1%
$20,826 交易量
$20,826 交易量
2026-07-03
<$355
No
$355-$360
No
$360-$365
No
$365-$370
No
$370-$375
No
$375-$380
No
$380-$385
No
$385-$390
No
$390-$395
Yes
$395-$400
No
>$400
No
$390-$395 100.0%
<$355 <1%
$355-$360 <1%
$360-$365 <1%
$20,826 交易量
$20,826 交易量
2026-07-03
<$355
$266 交易量
No
$355-$360
$353 交易量
No
$360-$365
$732 交易量
No
$365-$370
$732 交易量
No
$370-$375
$341 交易量
No
$375-$380
$336 交易量
No
$380-$385
$637 交易量
No
$385-$390
$3,622 交易量
No
$390-$395
$6,315 交易量
Yes
$395-$400
$6,965 交易量
No
>$400
$526 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed June 26 at $379.71 amid intraday swings between $368.60 and $387.80, leaving weekly closing-price buckets clustered near current levels with implied probabilities tightly grouped around 49.5–50%. Primary drivers include mixed analyst forecasts for Q2 vehicle deliveries, where some firms project results above consensus while others cite softening demand signals, alongside ongoing investor focus on Tesla’s Q1 progress in supervised FSD, early Robotaxi operations, and energy-storage ramp. Recent price action reflects a pullback from June highs above $400, tempered by broader equity volatility and capital-expenditure plans exceeding $20 billion for AI and manufacturing infrastructure. With resolution just days away, trader positioning hinges on any last-minute delivery commentary or macroeconomic data releases that could shift near-term share-price expectations.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$20,826結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla shares closed June 26 at $379.71 amid intraday swings between $368.60 and $387.80, leaving weekly closing-price buckets clustered near current levels with implied probabilities tightly grouped around 49.5–50%. Primary drivers include mixed analyst forecasts for Q2 vehicle deliveries, where some firms project results above consensus while others cite softening demand signals, alongside ongoing investor focus on Tesla’s Q1 progress in supervised FSD, early Robotaxi operations, and energy-storage ramp. Recent price action reflects a pullback from June highs above $400, tempered by broader equity volatility and capital-expenditure plans exceeding $20 billion for AI and manufacturing infrastructure. With resolution just days away, trader positioning hinges on any last-minute delivery commentary or macroeconomic data releases that could shift near-term share-price expectations.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$20,826結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 6:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Tesla shares closed June 26 at $379.71 amid intraday swings between $368.60 and $387.80, leaving weekly closing-price buckets clustered near current levels with implied probabilities tightly grouped around 49.5–50%. Primary drivers include mixed analyst forecasts for Q2 vehicle deliveries, where some firms project results above consensus while others cite softening demand signals, alongside ongoing investor focus on Tesla’s Q1 progress in supervised FSD, early Robotaxi operations, and energy-storage ramp. Recent price action reflects a pullback from June highs above $400, tempered by broader equity volatility and capital-expenditure plans exceeding $20 billion for AI and manufacturing infrastructure. With resolution just days away, trader positioning hinges on any last-minute delivery commentary or macroeconomic data releases that could shift near-term share-price expectations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions