Fed Chair Jerome Powell's April 29 press conference, following the FOMC's April 28-29 meeting—his last before his May 15 term expires—looms amid sticky inflation and resilient labor data shaping trader bets. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 10.9% energy spike from Middle East tensions driving oil above $100 per barrel, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.3%. Markets price near-certainty on a standard "Good Afternoon" greeting and elevated "inflation" mentions, reflecting consensus for steady federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% and hawkish guidance. Nominee Kevin Warsh's April 21 confirmation hearing adds succession uncertainty, with focus on data-dependent policy amid tariff pressures and geopolitical risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$107,233 交易量
Inflation 40+ times
72%
Inflation 50+ times
57%
Inflation 60+ times
27%
Successor
57%
War
52%
Governor
47%
Pandemic
74%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
77%
Data Center
27%
Simulation
17%
Tariff inflation
60%
Goods inflation
64%
Shut down / Shutdown
31%
Good Afternoon
98%
Crypto / Bitcoin
10%
$107,233 交易量
Inflation 40+ times
72%
Inflation 50+ times
57%
Inflation 60+ times
27%
Successor
57%
War
52%
Governor
47%
Pandemic
74%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
77%
Data Center
27%
Simulation
17%
Tariff inflation
60%
Goods inflation
64%
Shut down / Shutdown
31%
Good Afternoon
98%
Crypto / Bitcoin
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
市場開放時間: Apr 3, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Fed Chair Jerome Powell's April 29 press conference, following the FOMC's April 28-29 meeting—his last before his May 15 term expires—looms amid sticky inflation and resilient labor data shaping trader bets. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by a 10.9% energy spike from Middle East tensions driving oil above $100 per barrel, while nonfarm payrolls added 178,000 jobs and unemployment held at 4.3%. Markets price near-certainty on a standard "Good Afternoon" greeting and elevated "inflation" mentions, reflecting consensus for steady federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% and hawkish guidance. Nominee Kevin Warsh's April 21 confirmation hearing adds succession uncertainty, with focus on data-dependent policy amid tariff pressures and geopolitical risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions