President Trump’s abrupt ouster of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, amid criticism over unprosecuted cases like Epstein files and Russiagate, has elevated trader consensus around her permanent replacement, with EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin leading at 54% implied probability following Fox News reports naming him Trump’s favorite. Senators Ted Cruz (47%) and Eric Schmitt (46.5%) trail closely, buoyed by their legislative experience and Senate confirmation paths, while acting AG Todd Blanche lags at 28% amid doubts on his permanent viability. The tight contest reflects uncertainty in GOP Senate dynamics, loyalty tests, and vetting speed ahead of a potential June 30 deadline, with official announcements or holds likely to create separation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於艾瑞克·施密特 87%
李·澤爾丁 54%
托德·布蘭奇 28%
肯·帕克斯頓 6.3%
$95,280 交易量
$95,280 交易量

艾瑞克·施密特
87%

李·澤爾丁
54%

托德·布蘭奇
28%

肯·帕克斯頓
6%

6月30日前未宣布
4%

珍妮·皮羅
3%

麥克·李
1%

傑伊·克萊頓
1%

傑夫·克拉克
1%

哈米特·迪倫
1%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯
<1%

馬特·蓋茨
<1%

泰德·克魯茲
-
艾瑞克·施密特 87%
李·澤爾丁 54%
托德·布蘭奇 28%
肯·帕克斯頓 6.3%
$95,280 交易量
$95,280 交易量

艾瑞克·施密特
87%

李·澤爾丁
54%

托德·布蘭奇
28%

肯·帕克斯頓
6%

6月30日前未宣布
4%

珍妮·皮羅
3%

麥克·李
1%

傑伊·克萊頓
1%

傑夫·克拉克
1%

哈米特·迪倫
1%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯
<1%

馬特·蓋茨
<1%

泰德·克魯茲
-
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump’s abrupt ouster of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, amid criticism over unprosecuted cases like Epstein files and Russiagate, has elevated trader consensus around her permanent replacement, with EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin leading at 54% implied probability following Fox News reports naming him Trump’s favorite. Senators Ted Cruz (47%) and Eric Schmitt (46.5%) trail closely, buoyed by their legislative experience and Senate confirmation paths, while acting AG Todd Blanche lags at 28% amid doubts on his permanent viability. The tight contest reflects uncertainty in GOP Senate dynamics, loyalty tests, and vetting speed ahead of a potential June 30 deadline, with official announcements or holds likely to create separation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions