RFK Jr. serves as HHS secretary under the current administration, where he continues to advance major agency restructuring, staffing reductions, and policy shifts on vaccines, research funding, and chronic disease priorities. Recent congressional testimony on the FY 2026 budget and his public defense of those initiatives show sustained engagement, countering June 2026 reporting that questioned his focus. No confirmed announcements, legal actions, or administration statements signal an impending departure before year-end. Traders price the “No” outcome at 63.5% because these developments indicate the secretary remains aligned with administration goals and faces no immediate procedural or political pressure that would trigger removal by the December 31 resolution date.