President Trump's April 2 firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi and appointment of Todd Blanche as acting Attorney General triggered intense speculation on a permanent replacement, positioning former EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin as trader consensus favorite at 49.5% implied probability. Reports of Trump meeting Zeldin and viewing him as top choice—citing his prior New York prosecutor experience—have sustained his lead amid no formal announcement two weeks later. Blanche's 10.5% reflects his interim role and loyalty as Trump's former lawyer, while "No Announcement by June 30" at 26.9% accounts for potential delays in nomination amid Senate GOP concerns like Sen. Thom Tillis's opposition to controversial picks. Confirmation hearings loom as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於李·澤爾丁 50%
6月30日前未宣布 24.1%
托德·布蘭奇 9%
肯·帕克斯頓 2.9%
$443,671 交易量
$443,671 交易量

李·澤爾丁
50%

6月30日前未宣布
24%

托德·布蘭奇
16%

肯·帕克斯頓
3%

珍妮·皮羅
2%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯
1%

艾瑞克·施密特
1%

哈米特·迪倫
<1%

傑伊·克萊頓
<1%

傑夫·克拉克
<1%

馬特·蓋茨
<1%

麥克·李
<1%

泰德·克魯茲
<1%
李·澤爾丁 50%
6月30日前未宣布 24.1%
托德·布蘭奇 9%
肯·帕克斯頓 2.9%
$443,671 交易量
$443,671 交易量

李·澤爾丁
50%

6月30日前未宣布
24%

托德·布蘭奇
16%

肯·帕克斯頓
3%

珍妮·皮羅
2%

羅恩·德桑蒂斯
1%

艾瑞克·施密特
1%

哈米特·迪倫
<1%

傑伊·克萊頓
<1%

傑夫·克拉克
<1%

馬特·蓋茨
<1%

麥克·李
<1%

泰德·克魯茲
<1%
An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 2:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Attorney General will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Attorney General. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Attorney General will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Attorney General by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by June 30".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's April 2 firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi and appointment of Todd Blanche as acting Attorney General triggered intense speculation on a permanent replacement, positioning former EPA Administrator Lee Zeldin as trader consensus favorite at 49.5% implied probability. Reports of Trump meeting Zeldin and viewing him as top choice—citing his prior New York prosecutor experience—have sustained his lead amid no formal announcement two weeks later. Blanche's 10.5% reflects his interim role and loyalty as Trump's former lawyer, while "No Announcement by June 30" at 26.9% accounts for potential delays in nomination amid Senate GOP concerns like Sen. Thom Tillis's opposition to controversial picks. Confirmation hearings loom as key catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions