Trader consensus reflects 99% implied probability on No after the May 1, 2026 deadline passed without Clavicular visibly shedding tears on camera during his 50-minute Kick livestream that evening, solidifying near-certain positioning. Over the past 30 days, the looksmaxxing streamer navigated intense emotional arcs—including a girlfriend's pregnancy announcement amid his steroid-related infertility concerns, grocery meltdowns, preacher prayers, and abrupt stream endings after MOG losses—but consistently fell short of the market's strict criteria for observable tears, despite viral clips of near-breakdowns. This pattern of high-drama resilience without crossover has built trader confidence in the wisdom of crowds; realistic disruptions would require disputed oracle review of overlooked footage, though none has surfaced.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於鎖骨會在2026年5月1日前流下來嗎？
鎖骨會在2026年5月1日前流下來嗎？
是
$63,778 交易量
$63,778 交易量
2026-05-01
是
$63,778 交易量
$63,778 交易量
2026-05-01
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Trader consensus reflects 99% implied probability on No after the May 1, 2026 deadline passed without Clavicular visibly shedding tears on camera during his 50-minute Kick livestream that evening, solidifying near-certain positioning. Over the past 30 days, the looksmaxxing streamer navigated intense emotional arcs—including a girlfriend's pregnancy announcement amid his steroid-related infertility concerns, grocery meltdowns, preacher prayers, and abrupt stream endings after MOG losses—but consistently fell short of the market's strict criteria for observable tears, despite viral clips of near-breakdowns. This pattern of high-drama resilience without crossover has built trader confidence in the wisdom of crowds; realistic disruptions would require disputed oracle review of overlooked footage, though none has surfaced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ET
交易量
$63,778結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
Trader consensus reflects 99% implied probability on No after the May 1, 2026 deadline passed without Clavicular visibly shedding tears on camera during his 50-minute Kick livestream that evening, solidifying near-certain positioning. Over the past 30 days, the looksmaxxing streamer navigated intense emotional arcs—including a girlfriend's pregnancy announcement amid his steroid-related infertility concerns, grocery meltdowns, preacher prayers, and abrupt stream endings after MOG losses—but consistently fell short of the market's strict criteria for observable tears, despite viral clips of near-breakdowns. This pattern of high-drama resilience without crossover has built trader confidence in the wisdom of crowds; realistic disruptions would require disputed oracle review of overlooked footage, though none has surfaced.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on their face during any live stream broadcast by May 1, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
The 'crying' must occur while Clavicular is live on stream and the tears must be visible on camera. Crying that occurs off-camera, is only mentioned or described verbally, or occurs outside of a live stream (e.g. in real life off-stream or in edited content) will not count toward this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source is Clavicular's Kick.com channel (https://www.kick.com/clavicular) or credible video clips from the stream; however, a consensus of credible reporting or widely circulated video evidence may also be used.
交易量
$63,778結束日期
2026-05-01市場開放時間
Mar 10, 2026, 7:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus reflects 99% implied probability on No after the May 1, 2026 deadline passed without Clavicular visibly shedding tears on camera during his 50-minute Kick livestream that evening, solidifying near-certain positioning. Over the past 30 days, the looksmaxxing streamer navigated intense emotional arcs—including a girlfriend's pregnancy announcement amid his steroid-related infertility concerns, grocery meltdowns, preacher prayers, and abrupt stream endings after MOG losses—but consistently fell short of the market's strict criteria for observable tears, despite viral clips of near-breakdowns. This pattern of high-drama resilience without crossover has built trader confidence in the wisdom of crowds; realistic disruptions would require disputed oracle review of overlooked footage, though none has surfaced.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions