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icon for 任何州的汽油價格是否會低於$ 3.75... ？
經濟艙·價格

任何州的汽油價格是否會低於$ 3.75... ？

icon for 任何州的汽油價格是否會低於$ 3.75... ？
經濟艙·價格

任何州的汽油價格是否會低於$ 3.75... ？

最新
2026-09-20
Polymarket

$810 交易量

Polymarket

9月20日

$488 交易量

4%

9月30日

$81 交易量

26%

10月31日

$241 交易量

33%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Elevated crude oil prices near $100 per barrel, driven by ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz and constrained Middle East supply, remain the dominant factor lifting U.S. retail gasoline prices. The national average regular grade reached $4.44 per gallon as of September 20, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20, with state averages ranging from roughly $3.92 in Indiana and Texas to over $6.00 in California. Regional differences stem from varying taxes, refining capacity, and distribution costs, yet even the lowest-priced states have stayed above $3.75 amid rising demand and tight inventories. Traders are monitoring upcoming EIA weekly reports and any diplomatic progress on Hormuz flows, which could ease crude benchmarks and allow select state averages to test lower thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
交易量
$810
結束日期
2026-11-01
市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.Elevated crude oil prices near $100 per barrel, driven by ongoing volatility in the Strait of Hormuz and constrained Middle East supply, remain the dominant factor lifting U.S. retail gasoline prices. The national average regular grade reached $4.44 per gallon as of September 20, 2026, up sharply from year-ago levels near $3.20, with state averages ranging from roughly $3.92 in Indiana and Texas to over $6.00 in California. Regional differences stem from varying taxes, refining capacity, and distribution costs, yet even the lowest-priced states have stayed above $3.75 amid rising demand and tight inventories. Traders are monitoring upcoming EIA weekly reports and any diplomatic progress on Hormuz flows, which could ease crude benchmarks and allow select state averages to test lower thresholds.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source. This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
交易量
$810
結束日期
2026-11-01
市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"任何州的汽油價格是否會低於$ 3.75... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10月31日" at 33%, followed by "9月30日" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"任何州的汽油價格是否會低於$ 3.75... ？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "任何州的汽油價格是否會低於$ 3.75... ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "任何州的汽油價格是否會低於$ 3.75... ？" is "10月31日" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "9月30日" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "任何州的汽油價格是否會低於$ 3.75... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.