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變數 預測與賠率

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Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?

97%

$100M

$2M 交易量

$208K Liq.

37

Ends 超過 1 年內

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

73%

December 31, 2026

$363K 交易量

$4.8K Liq.

36

Ends 7 個月內

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$448 Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

100%

STATE

$2.8K 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$12.1K 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Prestige

$42.3K 交易量

Ends 13 天前

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

57%

↓ 0.0010

$113K 交易量

$10.4K Liq.

2

Ends 7 個月內

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$45.0K 交易量

Ends 24 天前

LoL: PCIFIC  vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular Season

100%

PCIFIC

$47.3K 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

24%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

135

Ends 7 個月內

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs AaB Esport (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

100%

AaB Esport

$19.4K 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by June 30?

What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by June 30?

66%

↓ 50

$5.5K 交易量

$935 Liq.

Ends 19 天內

Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A

100%

XI Esport

$140K 交易量

Ends 大約 2 個月前

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$34.5K 交易量

Ends 大約 2 個月前

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

NAVI Junior

$13.4K 交易量

Ends 9 天前

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

12%

↑ 0.12

$2.1K 交易量

$9.4K Liq.

Ends 19 天內

T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Northamptonshire Steelbacks vs Derbyshire Falcons

T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Northamptonshire Steelbacks vs Derbyshire Falcons

50%

Northamptonshire Steelbacks

$0 交易量

$190 Liq.

Ends 9 天內

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

42%

↓ 60

$991K 交易量

$421K Liq.

Ends 19 天內

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ODDIK (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D

Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs ODDIK (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group D

67%

ODDIK

$0 交易量

$2 Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

5%

$2.6K 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

4

Ends 7 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 變數.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for 變數 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular Season”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 24% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 變數 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.