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地緣政治·哥倫比亞

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?

Market icon
地緣政治·哥倫比亞

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?

3% 機率
Polymarket

$50,359 交易量

3% 機率
Polymarket

$50,359 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used. U.S. officials confirmed in late March that Colombian President Gustavo Petro faces no criminal charges amid early-stage DOJ investigations in New York probing his alleged ties to drug traffickers, including possible campaign donations and meetings, as first reported by the New York Times on March 20. This clarification quelled initial market volatility, driving trader consensus to 96.3% on "No" charges or formal indictment by April 30, 2026, given the preliminary nature of the probes, lack of new developments since early April, and significant diplomatic and evidentiary barriers to indicting a sitting foreign head of state. Late-breaking evidence, such as key witness testimony or declassified intelligence, could still prompt an announcement, though traders view this as improbable within the tight resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$50,359
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used. U.S. officials confirmed in late March that Colombian President Gustavo Petro faces no criminal charges amid early-stage DOJ investigations in New York probing his alleged ties to drug traffickers, including possible campaign donations and meetings, as first reported by the New York Times on March 20. This clarification quelled initial market volatility, driving trader consensus to 96.3% on "No" charges or formal indictment by April 30, 2026, given the preliminary nature of the probes, lack of new developments since early April, and significant diplomatic and evidentiary barriers to indicting a sitting foreign head of state. Late-breaking evidence, such as key witness testimony or declassified intelligence, could still prompt an announcement, though traders view this as improbable within the tight resolution window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$50,359
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 3% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 3¢, the market collectively assigns a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?" has generated $50.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?" is 3% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.