Diplomatic engagement and strengthened bilateral security cooperation have anchored trader expectations against a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026. Early-year tensions peaked after U.S. action in Venezuela, when President Trump publicly suggested targeting Colombian drug networks and President Petro warned of armed resistance, prompting ambassador recalls and mutual threats. These eased following a direct phone call and February White House meeting, shifting focus to counternarcotics coordination despite sanctions reviews. Colombia’s longstanding role as a U.S. security partner, institutional military ties, and the May 2026 election—producing a government aligned with Washington—have reinforced the 95.9% “No” consensus. Limited escalation paths remain possible from sharp cocaine surges, collapsed talks, or unforeseen regional crises triggering strikes, though none appear imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$147,381 交易量
$147,381 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$147,381 交易量
$147,381 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic engagement and strengthened bilateral security cooperation have anchored trader expectations against a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026. Early-year tensions peaked after U.S. action in Venezuela, when President Trump publicly suggested targeting Colombian drug networks and President Petro warned of armed resistance, prompting ambassador recalls and mutual threats. These eased following a direct phone call and February White House meeting, shifting focus to counternarcotics coordination despite sanctions reviews. Colombia’s longstanding role as a U.S. security partner, institutional military ties, and the May 2026 election—producing a government aligned with Washington—have reinforced the 95.9% “No” consensus. Limited escalation paths remain possible from sharp cocaine surges, collapsed talks, or unforeseen regional crises triggering strikes, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
交易量
$147,381結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic engagement and strengthened bilateral security cooperation have anchored trader expectations against a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026. Early-year tensions peaked after U.S. action in Venezuela, when President Trump publicly suggested targeting Colombian drug networks and President Petro warned of armed resistance, prompting ambassador recalls and mutual threats. These eased following a direct phone call and February White House meeting, shifting focus to counternarcotics coordination despite sanctions reviews. Colombia’s longstanding role as a U.S. security partner, institutional military ties, and the May 2026 election—producing a government aligned with Washington—have reinforced the 95.9% “No” consensus. Limited escalation paths remain possible from sharp cocaine surges, collapsed talks, or unforeseen regional crises triggering strikes, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$147,381結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 5:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic engagement and strengthened bilateral security cooperation have anchored trader expectations against a U.S. invasion of Colombia in 2026. Early-year tensions peaked after U.S. action in Venezuela, when President Trump publicly suggested targeting Colombian drug networks and President Petro warned of armed resistance, prompting ambassador recalls and mutual threats. These eased following a direct phone call and February White House meeting, shifting focus to counternarcotics coordination despite sanctions reviews. Colombia’s longstanding role as a U.S. security partner, institutional military ties, and the May 2026 election—producing a government aligned with Washington—have reinforced the 95.9% “No” consensus. Limited escalation paths remain possible from sharp cocaine surges, collapsed talks, or unforeseen regional crises triggering strikes, though none appear imminent.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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