Mamdani, now serving as New York City mayor after the 2025 election, campaigned on a "$30 by 2030" plan featuring phased local increases that begin no earlier than 2027 ($20 in 2027, scaling to the target only by decade's end). State law currently sets the NYC floor at $17 per hour through 2026, with questions remaining over the city's independent authority to exceed that rate via council legislation. No emergency measures, accelerated timelines, or overriding enactments have advanced a $30 floor inside the narrow window ending December 31, 2026. These scheduling, legal, and procedural constraints underpin traders' strong consensus that the outcome will not occur.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$22,298 交易量
$22,298 交易量
是
$22,298 交易量
$22,298 交易量
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier.
The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.
The enactment of a policy that initiates a structured increase of the minimum wage to at least $30 an hour in NYC over the course of several years will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, so long as that policy explicitly outlines it will achieve that level by the stated date.
Enactment of limited or temporary pilots which are not formally intended for citywide expansion (e.g., policies that explicitly cover only select boroughs, neighborhoods, or time periods) will not count.
Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for restaurant workers, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general policy of a $30 per hour minimum wage in New York City by 2030 is enacted.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Nov 5, 2025, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:
1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.
2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier.
The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.
The enactment of a policy that initiates a structured increase of the minimum wage to at least $30 an hour in NYC over the course of several years will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, so long as that policy explicitly outlines it will achieve that level by the stated date.
Enactment of limited or temporary pilots which are not formally intended for citywide expansion (e.g., policies that explicitly cover only select boroughs, neighborhoods, or time periods) will not count.
Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for restaurant workers, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general policy of a $30 per hour minimum wage in New York City by 2030 is enacted.
If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mamdani, now serving as New York City mayor after the 2025 election, campaigned on a "$30 by 2030" plan featuring phased local increases that begin no earlier than 2027 ($20 in 2027, scaling to the target only by decade's end). State law currently sets the NYC floor at $17 per hour through 2026, with questions remaining over the city's independent authority to exceed that rate via council legislation. No emergency measures, accelerated timelines, or overriding enactments have advanced a $30 floor inside the narrow window ending December 31, 2026. These scheduling, legal, and procedural constraints underpin traders' strong consensus that the outcome will not occur.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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