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全局溫度 預測與賠率

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May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

41%

1.20–1.24ºC

$1.9K 交易量

$4.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

96%

3rd hottest

$91.0K 交易量

$9.5K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

56%

2

$3M 交易量

$80.1K Liq.

17

Ends 8 個月內

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

37%

2nd hottest

$937 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

82%

$134K 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

66%

1.15–1.19ºC

$276K 交易量

$26.7K Liq.

Ends 6 天內

Daegu Mayoral Election Winner

Daegu Mayoral Election Winner

66%

Choo Kyung-ho

$193K 交易量

$55.4K today

$198K Liq.

8

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

Lewisham Mayoral Election Winner

80%

Liam Shrivastava

$55.5K 交易量

$64.6K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Watford Mayoral Election Winner

Watford Mayoral Election Winner

99%

Peter Taylor

$35.1K 交易量

$92.9K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

Croydon Mayoral Election Winner

56%

Rowenna Davis

$103K 交易量

$76.4K Liq.

3

Ends 4 天內

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

41%

Caroline Elliott

$98.5K 交易量

$102K Liq.

3

Ends 27 天內

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

40%

Kareem Allam

$48.0K 交易量

$103K Liq.

1

Ends 6 個月內

Venice Mayoral Election Winner

Venice Mayoral Election Winner

77%

Andrea Martella

$50.9K 交易量

$44.9K Liq.

7

Ends 21 天內

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

94%

Zoë Garbett

$21.4K 交易量

$52.0K Liq.

1

Ends 4 天內

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

83%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$7.7K 交易量

$56.8K Liq.

3

Ends 5 個月內

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

Newham Mayoral Election Winner

62%

Forhad Hussain

$34.1K 交易量

$63.0K Liq.

Ends 4 天內

Bahia Governor Election Winner

Bahia Governor Election Winner

49%

Jerônimo Rodrigues

$6.0K 交易量

$29.3K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?

93%

$52.1K 交易量

$16.2K Liq.

4

Ends 4 天內

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

45%

Ciro Gomes

$16.2K 交易量

$36.9K Liq.

2

Ends 5 個月內

President of Andalusia after election?

President of Andalusia after election?

98%

Juanma Moreno

$10.3K 交易量

$29.5K Liq.

Ends 13 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 131 active markets for 全局溫度 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to 2. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 全局溫度 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.