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SBF 預測與賠率

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Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

2%

$8.2K 交易量

$29.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

5%

$411K 交易量

$11.4K Liq.

1

Ends 7 個月內

Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?

Which guests will appear on the UpOnly podcast before 2027?

31%

ThreadGuy

$32.2K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

SPLC found guilty in 2026?

65%

$375 交易量

$66 Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs STATE (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group B

100%

STATE

$2.8K 交易量

Ends 大約 1 個月前

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M 交易量

$90.9K today

$99.2K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

71%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2.2K 交易量

$72.1K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above __?

91%

$1.2B

$20.5K 交易量

$10.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

ITF Ceska Lipa: Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Raluca Georgiana Serban

ITF Ceska Lipa: Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Raluca Georgiana Serban

56%

Raluca Georgiana Serban

$0 交易量

$8.0K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Prestige (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

Prestige

$42.3K 交易量

Ends 11 天前

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Samuil Chestovaliev vs Nikita Mashtakov

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Samuil Chestovaliev vs Nikita Mashtakov

95%

Nikita Mashtakov

$32 交易量

$206 Liq.

Ends 7 天內

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Madelief Hageman vs Aleksandra Djokic

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Madelief Hageman vs Aleksandra Djokic

95%

Madelief Hageman

$182 交易量

$2.7K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

30%

$226 交易量

$35 Liq.

1

Ends 20 天內

ITF Nyiregyhaza: John Sperle vs Sasha Colleu

ITF Nyiregyhaza: John Sperle vs Sasha Colleu

84%

John Sperle

$31 交易量

$493 Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$45.0K 交易量

Ends 22 天前

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C

100%

INFURITY Gaming

$12.1K 交易量

Ends 29 天前

StarCraft II: ByuN vs ShoWTimE (BO3) - PiG Sty Festival Group D

StarCraft II: ByuN vs ShoWTimE (BO3) - PiG Sty Festival Group D

ByuN

$523 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 4 個月前

Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs

51%

OLDBOYS-

$4.2K 交易量

$3.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 18 小時內

HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Mboko/Williams

HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Mboko/Williams

50%

Mboko/Williams

$0 交易量

$133 Liq.

Ends 8 天內

ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska

ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska

92%

Josip Simundza

$11.9K 交易量

$22.8K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like SBF.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for SBF that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Pause–Pause–Pause. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on SBF predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.