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科技·App Store

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

Market icon
科技·App Store

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?

4月 17

4月 17

Claude by Anthropic 90%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 33%

Google Gemini 20%

Netflix Game Controller 19%

Polymarket
最新

Claude by Anthropic 90%

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses 33%

Google Gemini 20%

Netflix Game Controller 19%

Polymarket
最新
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Claude by Anthropic

$190 交易量

82%

Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$267 交易量

33%

Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Google Gemini

$278 交易量

20%

Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Netflix Game Controller

$267 交易量

19%

Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

ChatGPT

$8 交易量

16%

Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

TurboTax: File Your Tax Return

$498 交易量

3%

Will Google be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Google

$677 交易量

<1%

Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$419 交易量

<1%

Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17? icon

Threads

$457 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic claiming the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, propelled by its surge from lower rankings to a consistent top-3 position since late February 2026, when it briefly dethroned ChatGPT as #1 amid publicity from a Pentagon contract dispute. Claude's downloads tripled between February and March, fueled by advanced reasoning capabilities in its latest models outperforming rivals on coding benchmarks, while ChatGPT holds steady at #1 (17.5% for #2). TurboTax lingers at low odds (2.5%) as tax filings peak ahead of the April 15 deadline, with post-deadline drop-off expected to elevate AI chatbots like Meta AI (16.5%) and Google Gemini (14.0%). Netflix Game Controller (15.0%) trails on transient gaming hype, but Claude's momentum positions it as the frontrunner absent surprises.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$3,062
结束日期
2026-04-17
市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 82% implied probability to Claude by Anthropic claiming the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on April 17, propelled by its surge from lower rankings to a consistent top-3 position since late February 2026, when it briefly dethroned ChatGPT as #1 amid publicity from a Pentagon contract dispute. Claude's downloads tripled between February and March, fueled by advanced reasoning capabilities in its latest models outperforming rivals on coding benchmarks, while ChatGPT holds steady at #1 (17.5% for #2). TurboTax lingers at low odds (2.5%) as tax filings peak ahead of the April 15 deadline, with post-deadline drop-off expected to elevate AI chatbots like Meta AI (16.5%) and Google Gemini (14.0%). Netflix Game Controller (15.0%) trails on transient gaming hype, but Claude's momentum positions it as the frontrunner absent surprises.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$3,062
结束日期
2026-04-17
市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Claude by Anthropic"，概率为 82%，其次是"Google Gemini"，概率为 20%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 82¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 82%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Apr 14, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?"的当前领先者是"Claude by Anthropic"，概率为 82%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 82%。紧随其后的结果是"Google Gemini"，概率为 20%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。