Jannik Sinner's dominant 2026 campaign, featuring a 44-3 record, six titles including Wimbledon, and sustained hard-court excellence, drives his 52% implied probability as the top consensus choice for the US Open title. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 22.5% on the strength of his Australian Open victory and defending-champion pedigree, though a lighter recent schedule tempers his position relative to Sinner. Alexander Zverev, Novak Djokovic, and emerging talents like Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton occupy the next tier at single-digit odds, reflecting solid recent form and head-to-head history but clear gaps in consistency and peak performance against the leaders. Surface-specific results, ranking stability, and the compressed hard-court swing leading into Flushing Meadows continue to shape trader positioning ahead of the late-August event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于扬尼克·辛纳 52%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 23%
亚历山大·兹维列夫 7.4%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇 3.8%
$4,862,770 交易量
$4,862,770 交易量
扬尼克·辛纳
52%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
23%
亚历山大·兹维列夫
7%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
4%
泰勒·弗里茨
2%
本·谢尔顿
2%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
1%
菲利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
1%
雅库布·门西克
1%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
杰克·德雷珀
1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
1%
阿瑟·菲尔斯
1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
<1%
伊里·莱赫卡
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
<1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
<1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
<1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
<1%
霍尔格·鲁内
<1%
扬尼克·辛纳 52%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 23%
亚历山大·兹维列夫 7.4%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇 3.8%
$4,862,770 交易量
$4,862,770 交易量
扬尼克·辛纳
52%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
23%
亚历山大·兹维列夫
7%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
4%
泰勒·弗里茨
2%
本·谢尔顿
2%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
1%
菲利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
1%
雅库布·门西克
1%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
杰克·德雷珀
1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
1%
阿瑟·菲尔斯
1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
<1%
伊里·莱赫卡
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
<1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
<1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
<1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
<1%
霍尔格·鲁内
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner's dominant 2026 campaign, featuring a 44-3 record, six titles including Wimbledon, and sustained hard-court excellence, drives his 52% implied probability as the top consensus choice for the US Open title. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 22.5% on the strength of his Australian Open victory and defending-champion pedigree, though a lighter recent schedule tempers his position relative to Sinner. Alexander Zverev, Novak Djokovic, and emerging talents like Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton occupy the next tier at single-digit odds, reflecting solid recent form and head-to-head history but clear gaps in consistency and peak performance against the leaders. Surface-specific results, ranking stability, and the compressed hard-court swing leading into Flushing Meadows continue to shape trader positioning ahead of the late-August event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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