Jannik Sinner holds the top implied probability at 28% as the ATP No. 1 with a substantial points lead and recent hard-court momentum, including a Monte-Carlo title. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 20.5% as defending champion but faces questions after a wrist issue and Cincinnati withdrawal, mirroring Sinner’s own right-knee absence from the same event. Alexander Zverev’s 15.8% reflects his strong 2026 clay results and consistent ranking position, while Novak Djokovic at 7.7% benefits from experience despite age. The bunched probabilities among the next tier—Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, and Daniil Medvedev—stem from solid recent form on hard courts, favorable draw positioning, and the top players’ health uncertainty, creating a competitive field where late roster changes or surface adjustments could shift sentiment ahead of the late-August start.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于扬尼克·辛纳 28%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 21%
亚历山大·兹维列夫 15.8%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇 7.7%
$7,387,615 交易量
$7,387,615 交易量
扬尼克·辛纳
28%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
21%
亚历山大·兹维列夫
16%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
8%
本·谢尔顿
5%
泰勒·弗里茨
5%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
2%
菲利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
2%
雅库布·门西克
2%
阿瑟·菲尔斯
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
1%
伊里·莱赫卡
1%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
杰克·德雷珀
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
<1%
霍尔格·鲁内
<1%
扬尼克·辛纳 28%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯 21%
亚历山大·兹维列夫 15.8%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇 7.7%
$7,387,615 交易量
$7,387,615 交易量
扬尼克·辛纳
28%
卡洛斯·阿尔卡拉斯
21%
亚历山大·兹维列夫
16%
诺瓦克·德约科维奇
8%
本·谢尔顿
5%
泰勒·弗里茨
5%
丹尼尔·梅德韦杰夫
2%
菲利克斯·奥热-阿利亚西姆
2%
雅库布·门西克
2%
阿瑟·菲尔斯
2%
若昂·丰塞卡
1%
弗朗西斯·蒂亚福
1%
亚历山大·布勃利克
1%
伊里·莱赫卡
1%
洛伦佐·穆塞蒂
1%
安德烈·鲁布列夫
1%
格里戈尔·迪米特洛夫
1%
弗拉维奥·科博利
<1%
杰克·德雷珀
<1%
马泰奥·贝雷蒂尼
<1%
休伯特·胡尔卡奇
<1%
霍尔格·鲁内
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner holds the top implied probability at 28% as the ATP No. 1 with a substantial points lead and recent hard-court momentum, including a Monte-Carlo title. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 20.5% as defending champion but faces questions after a wrist issue and Cincinnati withdrawal, mirroring Sinner’s own right-knee absence from the same event. Alexander Zverev’s 15.8% reflects his strong 2026 clay results and consistent ranking position, while Novak Djokovic at 7.7% benefits from experience despite age. The bunched probabilities among the next tier—Ben Shelton, Taylor Fritz, and Daniil Medvedev—stem from solid recent form on hard courts, favorable draw positioning, and the top players’ health uncertainty, creating a competitive field where late roster changes or surface adjustments could shift sentiment ahead of the late-August start.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题