Las Vegas Raiders' selection of Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, announced hours ago in Pittsburgh, has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability, cementing his status as the consensus top prospect after a Heisman Trophy-winning national championship campaign with the Hoosiers. Mendoza's 2025 dominance—3,553 passing yards, 48 total TDs, just 6 INTs, Big Ten title, Rose Bowl, and Peach Bowl triumphs—paired perfectly with the Raiders' franchise QB need following their 3-14 record and top draft position. Pre-draft mocks universally projected him first, with no trades materializing; post-selection, no challenges to resolution exist barring unprecedented commissioner intervention.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于费尔南多·门多萨 100.0%
加勒特·纳斯迈尔 <1%
凯德·克卢布尼克 <1%
杰登·马伊瓦 <1%
$1,358,646 交易量
$1,358,646 交易量
2026-04-25
加勒特·纳斯迈尔
否
凯德·克卢布尼克
否
杰登·马伊瓦
否
马塔约·乌亚加莱莱
否
弗朗西斯·毛伊戈阿
否
凯龙·德隆斯
否
艾丹·查尔斯
否
贾隆·丹尼尔斯
否
LaNorris Sellers
否
Caleb Lomu
否
鲁本·贝恩二世
否
米勒·莫斯
否
卡莱布·唐斯
否
乔丁·泰森
否
泰·辛普森
否
尼科·伊亚马莱阿
否
阿奇·曼宁
否
萨姆·利维特
否
彼得·伍兹
否
T.J. Parker
否
卡森·贝克
否
斯宾塞·法诺
否
索亚·罗伯逊
否
Raylen Wilson
否
康纳·韦格曼
否
但丁·摩尔
否
Cashius Howell
否
德鲁·阿拉
否
费尔南多·门多萨
是
凯尔德里克·福克
否
Kadyn Proctor
否
约翰·马特尔
否
LT Overton
否
大卫·贝利
否
Taylen Green
否
Arvell Reese
否
费尔南多·门多萨 100.0%
加勒特·纳斯迈尔 <1%
凯德·克卢布尼克 <1%
杰登·马伊瓦 <1%
$1,358,646 交易量
$1,358,646 交易量
2026-04-25
加勒特·纳斯迈尔
$24,866 交易量
否
凯德·克卢布尼克
$46,500 交易量
否
杰登·马伊瓦
$13,238 交易量
否
马塔约·乌亚加莱莱
$4,964 交易量
否
弗朗西斯·毛伊戈阿
$25,240 交易量
否
凯龙·德隆斯
$12,749 交易量
否
艾丹·查尔斯
$18,496 交易量
否
贾隆·丹尼尔斯
$18,168 交易量
否
LaNorris Sellers
$63,714 交易量
否
Caleb Lomu
$18,180 交易量
否
鲁本·贝恩二世
$47,218 交易量
否
米勒·莫斯
$22,699 交易量
否
卡莱布·唐斯
$17,096 交易量
否
乔丁·泰森
$17,331 交易量
否
泰·辛普森
$21,034 交易量
否
尼科·伊亚马莱阿
$11,971 交易量
否
阿奇·曼宁
$43,129 交易量
否
萨姆·利维特
$29,278 交易量
否
彼得·伍兹
$14,060 交易量
否
T.J. Parker
$23,897 交易量
否
卡森·贝克
$36,304 交易量
否
斯宾塞·法诺
$72,887 交易量
否
索亚·罗伯逊
$5,420 交易量
否
Raylen Wilson
$8,321 交易量
否
康纳·韦格曼
$70,776 交易量
否
但丁·摩尔
$31,111 交易量
否
Cashius Howell
$7,188 交易量
否
德鲁·阿拉
$22,986 交易量
否
费尔南多·门多萨
$233,013 交易量
是
凯尔德里克·福克
$17,696 交易量
否
Kadyn Proctor
$6,190 交易量
否
约翰·马特尔
$12,676 交易量
否
LT Overton
$7,997 交易量
否
大卫·贝利
$17,091 交易量
否
Taylen Green
$26,727 交易量
否
Arvell Reese
$288,433 交易量
否
This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Las Vegas Raiders' selection of Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, announced hours ago in Pittsburgh, has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability, cementing his status as the consensus top prospect after a Heisman Trophy-winning national championship campaign with the Hoosiers. Mendoza's 2025 dominance—3,553 passing yards, 48 total TDs, just 6 INTs, Big Ten title, Rose Bowl, and Peach Bowl triumphs—paired perfectly with the Raiders' franchise QB need following their 3-14 record and top draft position. Pre-draft mocks universally projected him first, with no trades materializing; post-selection, no challenges to resolution exist barring unprecedented commissioner intervention.
This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$1,358,646结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Las Vegas Raiders' selection of Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, announced hours ago in Pittsburgh, has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability, cementing his status as the consensus top prospect after a Heisman Trophy-winning national championship campaign with the Hoosiers. Mendoza's 2025 dominance—3,553 passing yards, 48 total TDs, just 6 INTs, Big Ten title, Rose Bowl, and Peach Bowl triumphs—paired perfectly with the Raiders' franchise QB need following their 3-14 record and top draft position. Pre-draft mocks universally projected him first, with no trades materializing; post-selection, no challenges to resolution exist barring unprecedented commissioner intervention.
This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,358,646结束日期
2026-04-25市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Las Vegas Raiders' selection of Indiana quarterback Fernando Mendoza as the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, announced hours ago in Pittsburgh, has locked trader consensus at 100% implied probability, cementing his status as the consensus top prospect after a Heisman Trophy-winning national championship campaign with the Hoosiers. Mendoza's 2025 dominance—3,553 passing yards, 48 total TDs, just 6 INTs, Big Ten title, Rose Bowl, and Peach Bowl triumphs—paired perfectly with the Raiders' franchise QB need following their 3-14 record and top draft position. Pre-draft mocks universally projected him first, with no trades materializing; post-selection, no challenges to resolution exist barring unprecedented commissioner intervention.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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