Las Vegas Raiders' possession of the No. 1 pick after a 3-14 finish in 2025—the league's worst record amid a defense that allowed the most sacks—has locked in trader consensus around Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza as the overwhelming favorite at 98.1% implied probability. The 6-foot-5 Heisman Trophy winner and national champion elevated a historically moribund Hoosiers program to an undefeated title run, showcasing elite arm talent, 72% completion accuracy, mobility, and poise under pressure in his standout 2025 campaign against top secondaries. His recent pro day further cemented QB1 status across mocks from Mel Kiper and Chris Simms, despite opting to skip the Pittsburgh draft. Realistic challenges include a surprise Raiders trade-down or medical issue surfacing pre-draft, though his clean bill of health and lack of viable alternatives make shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于费尔南多·门多萨 98.0%
卡森·贝克 <1%
但丁·摩尔 <1%
Arvell Reese <1%
$1,018,376 交易量
$1,018,376 交易量
费尔南多·门多萨
98%
卡森·贝克
<1%
但丁·摩尔
<1%
Arvell Reese
<1%
凯尔德里克·福克
<1%
泰·辛普森
<1%
斯宾塞·法诺
<1%
康纳·韦格曼
<1%
加勒特·纳斯迈尔
<1%
凯德·克卢布尼克
<1%
杰登·马伊瓦
<1%
马塔约·乌亚加莱莱
<1%
弗朗西斯·毛伊戈阿
<1%
凯龙·德隆斯
<1%
艾丹·查尔斯
<1%
贾隆·丹尼尔斯
<1%
LaNorris Sellers
<1%
Caleb Lomu
<1%
鲁本·贝恩二世
<1%
米勒·莫斯
<1%
卡莱布·唐斯
<1%
乔丁·泰森
<1%
尼科·伊亚马莱阿
<1%
阿奇·曼宁
<1%
萨姆·利维特
<1%
彼得·伍兹
<1%
T.J. Parker
<1%
索亚·罗伯逊
<1%
Raylen Wilson
<1%
Cashius Howell
<1%
德鲁·阿拉
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
约翰·马特尔
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
大卫·贝利
<1%
Taylen Green
<1%
费尔南多·门多萨 98.0%
卡森·贝克 <1%
但丁·摩尔 <1%
Arvell Reese <1%
$1,018,376 交易量
$1,018,376 交易量
费尔南多·门多萨
98%
卡森·贝克
<1%
但丁·摩尔
<1%
Arvell Reese
<1%
凯尔德里克·福克
<1%
泰·辛普森
<1%
斯宾塞·法诺
<1%
康纳·韦格曼
<1%
加勒特·纳斯迈尔
<1%
凯德·克卢布尼克
<1%
杰登·马伊瓦
<1%
马塔约·乌亚加莱莱
<1%
弗朗西斯·毛伊戈阿
<1%
凯龙·德隆斯
<1%
艾丹·查尔斯
<1%
贾隆·丹尼尔斯
<1%
LaNorris Sellers
<1%
Caleb Lomu
<1%
鲁本·贝恩二世
<1%
米勒·莫斯
<1%
卡莱布·唐斯
<1%
乔丁·泰森
<1%
尼科·伊亚马莱阿
<1%
阿奇·曼宁
<1%
萨姆·利维特
<1%
彼得·伍兹
<1%
T.J. Parker
<1%
索亚·罗伯逊
<1%
Raylen Wilson
<1%
Cashius Howell
<1%
德鲁·阿拉
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
约翰·马特尔
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
大卫·贝利
<1%
Taylen Green
<1%
If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Las Vegas Raiders' possession of the No. 1 pick after a 3-14 finish in 2025—the league's worst record amid a defense that allowed the most sacks—has locked in trader consensus around Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza as the overwhelming favorite at 98.1% implied probability. The 6-foot-5 Heisman Trophy winner and national champion elevated a historically moribund Hoosiers program to an undefeated title run, showcasing elite arm talent, 72% completion accuracy, mobility, and poise under pressure in his standout 2025 campaign against top secondaries. His recent pro day further cemented QB1 status across mocks from Mel Kiper and Chris Simms, despite opting to skip the Pittsburgh draft. Realistic challenges include a surprise Raiders trade-down or medical issue surfacing pre-draft, though his clean bill of health and lack of viable alternatives make shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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