Polymarket traders show split sentiment on Apple (AAPL) share price for the week of March 30 close, with 50% implied probabilities clustered across bins from under $230 to $270-$275, underscoring competitive dynamics between AI-driven upside and regulatory risks. Shares hover near $228 after a 2% weekly dip, pressured by softer China iPhone sales data and escalating DOJ antitrust case revelations on App Store practices, offsetting robust Q1 services revenue beats. Key differentiators include accelerating adoption of Apple Intelligence features versus EU DMA compliance costs; upcoming catalysts like potential March developer conference previews or nonfarm payrolls impacting tech valuations could tip the closely contested odds, aligning with historical Q1 base rates of 5-10% gains from February troughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于>$275 99%
<$230 50%
$230-$235 50%
$240-$245 50%
<$230
50%
$230-$235
50%
$235-$240
50%
$240-$245
50%
$245-$250
50%
$250-$255
50%
$255-$260
50%
$260-$265
50%
$265-$270
50%
$270-$275
50%
>$275
99%
>$275 99%
<$230 50%
$230-$235 50%
$240-$245 50%
<$230
50%
$230-$235
50%
$235-$240
50%
$240-$245
50%
$245-$250
50%
$250-$255
50%
$255-$260
50%
$260-$265
50%
$265-$270
50%
$270-$275
50%
>$275
99%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders show split sentiment on Apple (AAPL) share price for the week of March 30 close, with 50% implied probabilities clustered across bins from under $230 to $270-$275, underscoring competitive dynamics between AI-driven upside and regulatory risks. Shares hover near $228 after a 2% weekly dip, pressured by softer China iPhone sales data and escalating DOJ antitrust case revelations on App Store practices, offsetting robust Q1 services revenue beats. Key differentiators include accelerating adoption of Apple Intelligence features versus EU DMA compliance costs; upcoming catalysts like potential March developer conference previews or nonfarm payrolls impacting tech valuations could tip the closely contested odds, aligning with historical Q1 base rates of 5-10% gains from February troughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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