Apple's (AAPL) share price closed the week of April 27 at $280.37 on Friday, May 1, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $280-$285 bin as traders' skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the verified outcome. This strong positioning stems from the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings beat released April 30, with EPS of $2.01 topping estimates of $1.96, revenue of $111.2 billion exceeding $109.7 billion forecasts, record services growth to $31 billion (up 16% year-over-year), superior gross margins, a $100 billion buyback authorization, and upbeat June quarter guidance for 14-17% revenue expansion despite supply constraints. After six months of stagnation around $270, the post-earnings 3.4% surge from April 30's $271.35 close underscores renewed momentum, with negligible resolution risks barring rare oracle discrepancies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$280-$285 100.0%
<$250 <1%
$250-$255 <1%
$255-$260 <1%
$34,645 交易量
$34,645 交易量
2026-05-01
<$250
No
$250-$255
否
$255-$260
No
$260-$265
No
$265-$270
No
$270-$275
No
$275-$280
No
$280-$285
Yes
$285-$290
No
$290-$295
No
>$295
No
$280-$285 100.0%
<$250 <1%
$250-$255 <1%
$255-$260 <1%
$34,645 交易量
$34,645 交易量
2026-05-01
<$250
$1,012 交易量
No
$250-$255
$427 交易量
否
$255-$260
$330 交易量
No
$260-$265
$353 交易量
No
$265-$270
$283 交易量
No
$270-$275
$485 交易量
No
$275-$280
$15,924 交易量
No
$280-$285
$14,584 交易量
Yes
$285-$290
$348 交易量
No
$290-$295
$349 交易量
No
>$295
$550 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's (AAPL) share price closed the week of April 27 at $280.37 on Friday, May 1, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $280-$285 bin as traders' skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the verified outcome. This strong positioning stems from the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings beat released April 30, with EPS of $2.01 topping estimates of $1.96, revenue of $111.2 billion exceeding $109.7 billion forecasts, record services growth to $31 billion (up 16% year-over-year), superior gross margins, a $100 billion buyback authorization, and upbeat June quarter guidance for 14-17% revenue expansion despite supply constraints. After six months of stagnation around $270, the post-earnings 3.4% surge from April 30's $271.35 close underscores renewed momentum, with negligible resolution risks barring rare oracle discrepancies.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
交易量
$34,645结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 6:01 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's (AAPL) share price closed the week of April 27 at $280.37 on Friday, May 1, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $280-$285 bin as traders' skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the verified outcome. This strong positioning stems from the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings beat released April 30, with EPS of $2.01 topping estimates of $1.96, revenue of $111.2 billion exceeding $109.7 billion forecasts, record services growth to $31 billion (up 16% year-over-year), superior gross margins, a $100 billion buyback authorization, and upbeat June quarter guidance for 14-17% revenue expansion despite supply constraints. After six months of stagnation around $270, the post-earnings 3.4% surge from April 30's $271.35 close underscores renewed momentum, with negligible resolution risks barring rare oracle discrepancies.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$34,645结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 6:01 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Apple's (AAPL) share price closed the week of April 27 at $280.37 on Friday, May 1, locking in 100% market-implied probability for the $280-$285 bin as traders' skin-in-the-game consensus reflects the verified outcome. This strong positioning stems from the fiscal Q2 2026 earnings beat released April 30, with EPS of $2.01 topping estimates of $1.96, revenue of $111.2 billion exceeding $109.7 billion forecasts, record services growth to $31 billion (up 16% year-over-year), superior gross margins, a $100 billion buyback authorization, and upbeat June quarter guidance for 14-17% revenue expansion despite supply constraints. After six months of stagnation around $270, the post-earnings 3.4% surge from April 30's $271.35 close underscores renewed momentum, with negligible resolution risks barring rare oracle discrepancies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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