Apple's (AAPL) share price surged over 3% intraday on May 1, 2026, to around $280 following its fiscal Q2 earnings beat on April 30, with revenue of $111.18 billion topping estimates of $109.66 billion and EPS at $2.01 versus $1.95 expected, fueled by robust iPhone and China sales. This post-earnings momentum has clustered Polymarket-implied probabilities evenly at 50% across the $250–$255, $260–$265, $265–$270, and $280–$285 bins for the May 4 weekly close, reflecting trader consensus on balanced upside from services growth and AI tailwinds against risks like supply constraints and broader tech sector volatility. Key swing factors include options expiration flows and macroeconomic data ahead of the May 4 close, with no major catalysts scheduled.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$290-$295 100.0%
<$250 <1%
$250-$255 <1%
$255-$260 <1%
$4,102 交易量
$4,102 交易量
2026-05-08
<$250
No
$250-$255
No
$255-$260
No
$260-$265
No
$265-$270
No
$270-$275
No
$275-$280
No
$280-$285
No
$285-$290
No
$290-$295
Yes
>$295
No
$290-$295 100.0%
<$250 <1%
$250-$255 <1%
$255-$260 <1%
$4,102 交易量
$4,102 交易量
2026-05-08
<$250
$336 交易量
No
$250-$255
$285 交易量
No
$255-$260
$468 交易量
No
$260-$265
$293 交易量
No
$265-$270
$255 交易量
No
$270-$275
$155 交易量
No
$275-$280
$175 交易量
No
$280-$285
$173 交易量
No
$285-$290
$204 交易量
No
$290-$295
$1,548 交易量
Yes
>$295
$210 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's (AAPL) share price surged over 3% intraday on May 1, 2026, to around $280 following its fiscal Q2 earnings beat on April 30, with revenue of $111.18 billion topping estimates of $109.66 billion and EPS at $2.01 versus $1.95 expected, fueled by robust iPhone and China sales. This post-earnings momentum has clustered Polymarket-implied probabilities evenly at 50% across the $250–$255, $260–$265, $265–$270, and $280–$285 bins for the May 4 weekly close, reflecting trader consensus on balanced upside from services growth and AI tailwinds against risks like supply constraints and broader tech sector volatility. Key swing factors include options expiration flows and macroeconomic data ahead of the May 4 close, with no major catalysts scheduled.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
交易量
$4,102结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:39 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Apple's (AAPL) share price surged over 3% intraday on May 1, 2026, to around $280 following its fiscal Q2 earnings beat on April 30, with revenue of $111.18 billion topping estimates of $109.66 billion and EPS at $2.01 versus $1.95 expected, fueled by robust iPhone and China sales. This post-earnings momentum has clustered Polymarket-implied probabilities evenly at 50% across the $250–$255, $260–$265, $265–$270, and $280–$285 bins for the May 4 weekly close, reflecting trader consensus on balanced upside from services growth and AI tailwinds against risks like supply constraints and broader tech sector volatility. Key swing factors include options expiration flows and macroeconomic data ahead of the May 4 close, with no major catalysts scheduled.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$4,102结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:39 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Apple's (AAPL) share price surged over 3% intraday on May 1, 2026, to around $280 following its fiscal Q2 earnings beat on April 30, with revenue of $111.18 billion topping estimates of $109.66 billion and EPS at $2.01 versus $1.95 expected, fueled by robust iPhone and China sales. This post-earnings momentum has clustered Polymarket-implied probabilities evenly at 50% across the $250–$255, $260–$265, $265–$270, and $280–$285 bins for the May 4 weekly close, reflecting trader consensus on balanced upside from services growth and AI tailwinds against risks like supply constraints and broader tech sector volatility. Key swing factors include options expiration flows and macroeconomic data ahead of the May 4 close, with no major catalysts scheduled.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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